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Predictions › Spain › Eldense vs Eibar
LaLiga 2Sat 19 Sept, 16:30 Spain time

Eldense vs Eibar prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

EldenseHome
0.83 : 1.01
expected goals
EibarAway
28%Eldense
34%Draw
38%Eibar
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.38

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eldense vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.38.

Prediction
Eibar to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Eldense 0.8, Eibar 1.0
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.38
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
73% chanceFair price 1.381 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
17% chanceFair price 5.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eldense 28%, the draw 34% and Eibar 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eldense took 2 points from their last 4 games and Eibar took 9 from 5. Eibar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Eldense score 0.5 goals a game and let in 1.5. Eibar score 1.5 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Eldense games and 10 of Eibar games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eldenserecent form-4%
  • Eibarrecent form+1%
Eldense form D L D L LEibar form W W W L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eldense vs Eibar: Eibar shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eldense host Eibar in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 19 Sept, 16:30 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat. Our prediction for Eldense vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.38.

Eldense form

Eldense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, D, L, newest first.

Eibar form

Eibar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eldense to score about 0.8 goals and Eibar about 1.0. That points to Eibar to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.38. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EldenseEibar
Games played420
Wins013
Draws22
Losses25
Goals scored230
Goals conceded615
Scored per game0.51.5
Conceded per game1.50.8
Home record0W 2D 0L7W 1D 2L
Away record0W 0D 2L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets25%60%
Both teams scored25%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals56%1.80
Over 2.5 goals28%3.58
Over 3.5 goals11%8.73
Both teams to score37%2.74
Eldense or Draw62%1.61
Eibar or Draw72%1.39
Eldense to win and Over 2.510%9.74
Eibar to win and Over 2.515%6.85
Eldense clean sheet36%2.75
Eibar clean sheet44%2.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.7%
0-115.3%
1-114.1%
1-012.4%
0-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eldense vs Eibar?

Our prediction for Eldense vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.38.

What is the score prediction for Eldense vs Eibar?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Eldense to score 0.8 goals and Eibar 1.0.

Will both teams score in Eldense vs Eibar?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Eldense last 4 games and 7 of Eibar last 20.

How are Eldense playing?

Eldense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 2 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eldense vs Eibar?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.38, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eldense against Eibar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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