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Predictions › Spain › Eldense vs Granada
LaLiga 2Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

Eldense vs Granada prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

EldenseHome
1.68 : 1.25
expected goals
GranadaAway
47%Eldense
25%Draw
28%Granada
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eldense vs Granada is Eldense to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Eldense to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eldense 1.7, Granada 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eldense to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eldense 47%, the draw 25% and Granada 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eldense took 9 points from their last 5 games and Granada took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eldense won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Granada won 4 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eldense score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Granada score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Eldense games and 10 of Granada games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Eldense form D W W L LGranada form D W W L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eldense vs Granada: Eldense are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eldense host Granada in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat. Our prediction for Eldense vs Granada is Eldense to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Eldense form

Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Granada form

Granada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eldense to score about 1.7 goals and Granada about 1.3. That points to Eldense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Eldense to win and Over 2.5 at 3.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EldenseGranada
Games played1020
Wins47
Draws22
Losses411
Goals scored1325
Goals conceded1333
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record2W 2D 1L3W 1D 4L
Away record2W 0D 3L4W 1D 7L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals34%2.97
Both teams to score59%1.71
Eldense or Draw72%1.38
Granada or Draw53%1.88
Eldense to win and Over 2.531%3.23
Granada to win and Over 2.518%5.69
Eldense clean sheet29%3.48
Granada clean sheet19%5.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-19.4%
1-08.3%
2-07.6%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eldense vs Granada?

Our prediction for Eldense vs Granada is Eldense to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Eldense vs Granada?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Eldense to score 1.7 goals and Granada 1.3.

Will both teams score in Eldense vs Granada?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Eldense last 10 games and 10 of Granada last 20.

How are Eldense playing?

Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Granada playing?

Granada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eldense vs Granada?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eldense against Granada. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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