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Predictions › Italy › Empoli vs Juve Stabia
Serie BSun 1 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Empoli vs Juve Stabia prediction

Stadio Carlo Castellani - Computer Gross Arena

EmpoliHome
1.23 : 1.15
expected goals
Juve StabiaAway
37%Empoli
29%Draw
33%Juve Stabia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Empoli vs Juve Stabia is Empoli to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Empoli to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Empoli 1.2, Juve Stabia 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Empoli 37%, the draw 29% and Juve Stabia 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Empoli took 4 points from their last 5 games and Juve Stabia took 6 from 5. Juve Stabia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Empoli won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Juve Stabia won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Empoli score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Juve Stabia score 1.2 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Empoli games and 8 of Juve Stabia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Empoli won 0 and Juve Stabia won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Empoli 1, Juve Stabia 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Empolirecent form-3%
  • Juve Stabiarecent form-1%
Empoli form D L L L WJuve Stabia form D D D D LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Empoli vs Juve Stabia: Empoli shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Empoli host Juve Stabia in the Serie B on Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 at Stadio Carlo Castellani - Computer Gross Arena. Our prediction for Empoli vs Juve Stabia is Empoli to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Empoli form

Empoli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Juve Stabia form

Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Empoli won 0, Juve Stabia won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Empoli 1, Juve Stabia 2.

Our call

We expect Empoli to score about 1.2 goals and Juve Stabia about 1.1. That points to Empoli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EmpoliJuve Stabia
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws79
Losses96
Goals scored2424
Goals conceded3125
Scored per game1.21.2
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record3W 3D 2L3W 4D 2L
Away record1W 4D 7L2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.37
Over 3.5 goals22%4.65
Both teams to score49%2.04
Empoli or Draw67%1.50
Juve Stabia or Draw63%1.59
Empoli to win and Over 2.520%5.11
Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.517%5.78
Empoli clean sheet32%3.14
Juve Stabia clean sheet29%3.40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-010.7%
0-010.1%
0-19.9%
2-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Empoli vs Juve Stabia?

Our prediction for Empoli vs Juve Stabia is Empoli to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Empoli vs Juve Stabia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Empoli to score 1.2 goals and Juve Stabia 1.1.

Will both teams score in Empoli vs Juve Stabia?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Empoli last 20 games and 13 of Juve Stabia last 20.

How are Empoli playing?

Empoli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Juve Stabia playing?

Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Empoli and Juve Stabia last met?

It ended Empoli 1, Juve Stabia 2. In the last 2 meetings Empoli won 0 and Juve Stabia won 2.

What is the best bet for Empoli vs Juve Stabia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Empoli against Juve Stabia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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