EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Germany › Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2. BundesligaFri 16 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction

Stadion Der Freundschaft

Energie CottbusHome
1.59 : 1.93
expected goals
1. FC NürnbergAway
32%Cottbus
23%Draw
45%1. FC Nürnberg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Energie Cottbus 1.6, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Energie Cottbus 32%, the draw 23% and 1. FC Nürnberg 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Energie Cottbus took 5 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Nürnberg took 13 from 5. 1. FC Nürnberg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Energie Cottbus won 1 of their last 3 games at home. 1. FC Nürnberg won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Energie Cottbus score 2.3 goals a game and let in 2.2. 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Energie Cottbus games and 12 of 1. FC Nürnberg games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cottbusrecent form-1%
  • 1. FC Nürnbergrecent form+6%
Cottbus form D W D L L1. FC Nürnberg form W W D W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg: 1. FC Nürnberg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Energie Cottbus host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 16 Oct, 16:30 at Stadion Der Freundschaft. Our prediction for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Energie Cottbus form

Energie Cottbus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

1. FC Nürnberg form

1. FC Nürnberg have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Energie Cottbus to score about 1.6 goals and 1. FC Nürnberg about 1.9. That points to 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
Games played620
Wins210
Draws26
Losses24
Goals scored1440
Goals conceded1323
Scored per game2.32.0
Conceded per game2.21.1
Home record1W 1D 1L7W 0D 2L
Away record1W 1D 1L3W 6D 2L
Clean sheets17%25%
Both teams scored67%65%
Over 2.5 goals83%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.13
Both teams to score69%1.46
Energie Cottbus or Draw55%1.83
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw68%1.46
Energie Cottbus to win and Over 2.524%4.20
1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.535%2.88
Energie Cottbus clean sheet15%6.88
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet20%4.93

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.6%
1-28.7%
2-17.2%
2-27.0%
1-35.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our prediction for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Energie Cottbus to score 1.6 goals and 1. FC Nürnberg 1.9.

Will both teams score in Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Energie Cottbus last 6 games and 13 of 1. FC Nürnberg last 20.

How are Energie Cottbus playing?

Energie Cottbus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are 1. FC Nürnberg playing?

1. FC Nürnberg have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cottbus against 1. FC Nürnberg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.