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Predictions › Turkey › Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK
Super LigSat 31 Oct, 10:30 Turkey time

Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK prediction

Erzurum Kazim Karabekir

Erzurum BBHome
1.55 : 1.84
expected goals
Çorum FKAway
32%Erzurum
24%Draw
44%Çorum FK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK is Çorum FK to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Çorum FK to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Erzurum BB 1.6, Çorum FK 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Çorum FK to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Erzurum BB 32%, the draw 24% and Çorum FK 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Erzurum BB took 10 points from their last 5 games and Çorum FK took 12 from 5. Çorum FK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Erzurum BB won 3 of their last 4 games at home. Çorum FK won 2 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Erzurum BB score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Çorum FK score 2.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Erzurum BB games and 7 of Çorum FK games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Erzurumrecent form+1%
  • Çorum FKrecent form+3%
Erzurum form D D W L WÇorum FK form D W L W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK: Çorum FK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Erzurum BB host Çorum FK in the Super Lig on Sat 31 Oct, 10:30 at Erzurum Kazim Karabekir. Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK is Çorum FK to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Erzurum BB form

Erzurum BB have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 5 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Çorum FK form

Çorum FK have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Erzurum BB to score about 1.6 goals and Çorum FK about 1.8. That points to Çorum FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Çorum FK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 8 games in all competitions.

ErzurumÇorum FK
Games played88
Wins34
Draws21
Losses33
Goals scored518
Goals conceded1113
Scored per game0.62.3
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record3W 0D 1L2W 0D 2L
Away record0W 2D 2L2W 1D 1L
Clean sheets50%25%
Both teams scored13%63%
Over 2.5 goals38%88%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.27
Both teams to score67%1.50
Erzurum BB or Draw56%1.80
Çorum FK or Draw68%1.47
Erzurum BB to win and Over 2.523%4.28
Çorum FK to win and Over 2.533%3.03
Erzurum BB clean sheet16%6.32
Çorum FK clean sheet21%4.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
1-28.9%
2-17.4%
2-26.9%
0-25.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK?

Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK is Çorum FK to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Erzurum BB to score 1.6 goals and Çorum FK 1.8.

Will both teams score in Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Erzurum BB last 8 games and 5 of Çorum FK last 8.

How are Erzurum BB playing?

Erzurum BB have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 5 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Çorum FK playing?

Çorum FK have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 8 games, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Erzurum BB vs Çorum FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Erzurum against Çorum FK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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