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Predictions › Turkey › Erzurum BB vs Goztepe
Super LigSun 22 Nov, 10:30 Turkey time

Erzurum BB vs Goztepe prediction

Erzurum Kazim Karabekir

Erzurum BBHome
1.19 : 1.77
expected goals
GoztepeAway
25%Erzurum
25%Draw
50%Goztepe
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Goztepe is Goztepe to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Goztepe to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Erzurum BB 1.2, Goztepe 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Goztepe to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Erzurum BB 25%, the draw 25% and Goztepe 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Erzurum BB took 7 points from their last 5 games and Goztepe took 12 from 5. Goztepe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Erzurum BB won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Goztepe won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Erzurum BB score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Goztepe score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Erzurum BB games and 14 of Goztepe games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gozteperecent form+6%
Erzurum form L L W W DGoztepe form D W W W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Erzurum BB vs Goztepe: Goztepe are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Erzurum BB host Goztepe in the Super Lig on Sun 22 Nov, 10:30 at Erzurum Kazim Karabekir. Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Goztepe is Goztepe to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Erzurum BB form

Erzurum BB have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 11 games, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Goztepe form

Goztepe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Erzurum BB to score about 1.2 goals and Goztepe about 1.8. That points to Goztepe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Goztepe to win and Over 2.5 at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ErzurumGoztepe
Games played1120
Wins47
Draws27
Losses56
Goals scored1036
Goals conceded1733
Scored per game0.91.8
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record3W 0D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 2D 3L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets36%20%
Both teams scored36%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%2.91
Both teams to score58%1.71
Erzurum BB or Draw50%2.01
Goztepe or Draw75%1.33
Erzurum BB to win and Over 2.516%6.33
Goztepe to win and Over 2.534%2.97
Erzurum BB clean sheet17%5.87
Goztepe clean sheet30%3.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-29.7%
0-18.5%
0-28.1%
2-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?

Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Goztepe is Goztepe to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Erzurum BB to score 1.2 goals and Goztepe 1.8.

Will both teams score in Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Erzurum BB last 11 games and 14 of Goztepe last 20.

How are Erzurum BB playing?

Erzurum BB have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 11 games, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Goztepe playing?

Goztepe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Erzurum BB vs Goztepe?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Erzurum against Goztepe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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