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Predictions › Portugal › Estoril vs Maritimo
Primeira LigaSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Portugal time

Estoril vs Maritimo prediction

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

EstorilHome
1.73 : 1.36
expected goals
MaritimoAway
46%Estoril
25%Draw
30%Maritimo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo is Estoril to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Estoril to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Estoril 1.7, Maritimo 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Estoril to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estoril 46%, the draw 25% and Maritimo 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estoril took 1 point from their last 5 games and Maritimo took 1 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estoril won 0 of their last 10 games at home. Maritimo won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estoril score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Maritimo score 1.0 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Estoril games and 7 of Maritimo games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Estorilrecent form-3%
  • Maritimorecent form-1%
Estoril form D W L L LMaritimo form D W L D LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Estoril vs Maritimo: Estoril are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Estoril host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Our prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo is Estoril to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Estoril form

Estoril have 1 win, 5 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Maritimo form

Maritimo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 9 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Estoril to score about 1.7 goals and Maritimo about 1.4. That points to Estoril to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Estoril to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EstorilMaritimo
Games played209
Wins12
Draws52
Losses145
Goals scored139
Goals conceded3319
Scored per game0.71.0
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record0W 3D 7L1W 1D 2L
Away record1W 2D 7L1W 1D 3L
Clean sheets15%11%
Both teams scored55%67%
Over 2.5 goals45%78%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.69
Both teams to score62%1.62
Estoril or Draw70%1.42
Maritimo or Draw54%1.84
Estoril to win and Over 2.531%3.18
Maritimo to win and Over 2.520%5.03
Estoril clean sheet26%3.89
Maritimo clean sheet18%5.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.3%
1-27.3%
1-07.3%
2-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estoril vs Maritimo?

Our prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo is Estoril to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Estoril to score 1.7 goals and Maritimo 1.4.

Will both teams score in Estoril vs Maritimo?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Estoril last 20 games and 6 of Maritimo last 9.

How are Estoril playing?

Estoril have 1 win, 5 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Maritimo playing?

Maritimo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 9 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Estoril vs Maritimo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Estoril against Maritimo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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