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Predictions › Argentina › Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 1 Nov, 00:30 Argentina time

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba) prediction

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi

Estudiantes de La PlataHome
1.13 : 0.88
expected goals
Instituto (Córdoba)Away
40%Estudiantes
32%Draw
27%Instituto
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba) is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Estudiantes de La Plata to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Estudiantes de La Plata 1.1, Instituto (Córdoba) 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 6.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estudiantes de La Plata 40%, the draw 32% and Instituto (Córdoba) 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estudiantes de La Plata took 5 points from their last 5 games and Instituto (Córdoba) took 13 from 5. Instituto (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estudiantes de La Plata won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Instituto (Córdoba) won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.9. Instituto (Córdoba) score 1.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Estudiantes de La Plata games and 7 of Instituto (Córdoba) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 and Instituto (Córdoba) won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Instituto (Córdoba) 0, Estudiantes de La Plata 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Institutorecent form+4%
Estudiantes form D D D W LInstituto form D D W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba): Estudiantes de La Plata shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Estudiantes de La Plata host Instituto (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 1 Nov, 00:30 at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba) is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Instituto (Córdoba) form

Instituto (Córdoba) have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Estudiantes de La Plata won 1, Instituto (Córdoba) won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Instituto (Córdoba) 0, Estudiantes de La Plata 1.

Our call

We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to score about 1.1 goals and Instituto (Córdoba) about 0.9. That points to Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EstudiantesInstituto
Games played2020
Wins713
Draws53
Losses84
Goals scored2328
Goals conceded1815
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game0.90.8
Home record5W 4D 2L7W 1D 1L
Away record2W 1D 6L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets40%45%
Both teams scored30%40%
Over 2.5 goals40%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%3.07
Over 3.5 goals14%6.92
Both teams to score40%2.48
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw73%1.38
Instituto (Córdoba) or Draw60%1.68
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.518%5.69
Instituto (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.511%8.85
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet41%2.41
Instituto (Córdoba) clean sheet32%3.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.3%
0-014.2%
1-114.1%
0-111.0%
2-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba) is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba)?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to score 1.1 goals and Instituto (Córdoba) 0.9.

Will both teams score in Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20 games and 8 of Instituto (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Instituto (Córdoba) playing?

Instituto (Córdoba) have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Estudiantes de La Plata and Instituto (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Instituto (Córdoba) 0, Estudiantes de La Plata 1. In the last 1 meeting Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 and Instituto (Córdoba) won 0.

What is the best bet for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Estudiantes against Instituto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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