EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Argentina › Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 18 Oct, 21:00 Argentina time

Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo prediction

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi

Estudiantes de La PlataHome
1.30 : 0.44
expected goals
San LorenzoAway
58%Estudiantes
30%Draw
12%San Lorenzo
Eagle safe pickEstudiantes de La Plata or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Estudiantes de La Plata to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Estudiantes de La Plata 1.3, San Lorenzo 0.4
Best bet
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
26%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
22% chanceFair price 4.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estudiantes de La Plata 58%, the draw 30% and San Lorenzo 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estudiantes de La Plata took 10 points from their last 5 games and San Lorenzo took 4 from 5. Estudiantes de La Plata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estudiantes de La Plata won 5 of their last 10 games at home. San Lorenzo won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. San Lorenzo score 0.7 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Estudiantes de La Plata games and 4 of San Lorenzo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Estudiantes de La Plata won 0 and San Lorenzo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended San Lorenzo 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Estudiantesrecent form-1%
  • San Lorenzo recent form-3%
Estudiantes form W L L L WSan Lorenzo form L L D W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo: Estudiantes de La Plata are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Estudiantes de La Plata host San Lorenzo in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.17.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

San Lorenzo form

San Lorenzo have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Estudiantes de La Plata won 0, San Lorenzo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished San Lorenzo 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

Our call

We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to score about 1.3 goals and San Lorenzo about 0.4. That points to Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 4.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws47
Losses88
Goals scored2313
Goals conceded1622
Scored per game1.10.7
Conceded per game0.81.1
Home record5W 3D 2L4W 1D 4L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 6D 4L
Clean sheets40%40%
Both teams scored25%30%
Over 2.5 goals30%20%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals53%1.90
Over 2.5 goals25%3.94
Over 3.5 goals10%10.04
Both teams to score26%3.78
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw88%1.13
San Lorenzo or Draw42%2.37
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.521%4.81
San Lorenzo to win and Over 2.53%32.44
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet64%1.55
San Lorenzo clean sheet27%3.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-022.2%
0-018.1%
2-014.9%
1-110.6%
0-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to score 1.3 goals and San Lorenzo 0.4.

Will both teams score in Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Both teams to score has a 26% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20 games and 6 of San Lorenzo last 20.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are San Lorenzo playing?

San Lorenzo have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Estudiantes de La Plata and San Lorenzo last met?

It ended San Lorenzo 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0. In the last 1 meeting Estudiantes de La Plata won 0 and San Lorenzo won 1.

What is the best bet for Estudiantes de La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Estudiantes against San Lorenzo . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.