Predictions › Argentina › Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata
Argentina Liga ProfesionalFri 30 Oct, 22:00 Argentina time

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata prediction

Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini

Estudiantes de Río CuartoHome
0.71 : 1.25
expected goals
Gimnasia La PlataAway
21%Estudiantes RC
31%Draw
48%Gimnasia LP
Eagle safe pickGimnasia La Plata or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata is Gimnasia La Plata to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Gimnasia La Plata or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Gimnasia La Plata to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.7, Gimnasia La Plata 1.3
Best bet
Gimnasia La Plata or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Gimnasia La Plata or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
17% chanceFair price 5.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 21%, the draw 31% and Gimnasia La Plata 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto took 3 points from their last 5 games and Gimnasia La Plata took 7 from 5. Gimnasia La Plata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Gimnasia La Plata won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estudiantes de Río Cuarto score 0.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Gimnasia La Plata score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto games and 10 of Gimnasia La Plata games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0 and Gimnasia La Plata won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Gimnasia La Plata 1, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Gimnasia La Plata or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Estudiantes RCrecent form-6%
  • Estudiantes RCrest between games-2%
Estudiantes RC form D L L L LGimnasia LP form D D D D DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata: Gimnasia La Plata are favourites

The big picture

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 at Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini. Our prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata is Gimnasia La Plata to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Gimnasia La Plata or Draw at 1.26.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto form

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 10 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Gimnasia La Plata form

Gimnasia La Plata have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Gimnasia La Plata 1, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.

Our call

We expect Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score about 0.7 goals and Gimnasia La Plata about 1.3. That points to Gimnasia La Plata to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Gimnasia La Plata or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 5.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Estudiantes RCGimnasia LP
Games played2020
Wins211
Draws44
Losses145
Goals scored1026
Goals conceded2824
Scored per game0.51.3
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record2W 2D 7L5W 2D 2L
Away record0W 2D 7L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals59%1.69
Over 2.5 goals31%3.21
Over 3.5 goals14%7.39
Both teams to score37%2.70
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or Draw52%1.93
Gimnasia La Plata or Draw79%1.26
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win and Over 2.58%13.10
Gimnasia La Plata to win and Over 2.520%4.88
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet29%3.47
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet49%2.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-116.8%
0-014.9%
1-113.3%
0-210.9%
1-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Our prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata is Gimnasia La Plata to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Gimnasia La Plata or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 0.7 goals and Gimnasia La Plata 1.3.

Will both teams score in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto last 20 games and 11 of Gimnasia La Plata last 20.

How are Estudiantes de Río Cuarto playing?

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 10 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Gimnasia La Plata playing?

Gimnasia La Plata have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Gimnasia La Plata last met?

It ended Gimnasia La Plata 1, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0. In the last 1 meeting Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 0 and Gimnasia La Plata won 1.

What is the best bet for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Gimnasia La Plata or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Estudiantes RC against Gimnasia LP. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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