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Predictions › Chile › Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion prediction

Estadio Sausalito

Everton CDHome
1.33 : 1.08
expected goals
Deportes ConcepcionAway
42%Everton CD
29%Draw
30%Concepcion
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion is Everton CD to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Everton CD to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Everton CD 1.3, Deportes Concepcion 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Everton CD 42%, the draw 29% and Deportes Concepcion 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Everton CD took 9 points from their last 5 games and Deportes Concepcion took 5 from 5. Everton CD come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Everton CD won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Deportes Concepcion won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Everton CD score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Deportes Concepcion score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Everton CD games and 6 of Deportes Concepcion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Everton CD won 1 and Deportes Concepcion won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportes Concepcion 0, Everton CD 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Everton CDrecent form+1%
  • Concepcionrecent form-1%
Everton CD form D W D L WConcepcion form D D L L WHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion: Everton CD shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Everton CD host Deportes Concepcion in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Sausalito. Our prediction for Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion is Everton CD to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Everton CD form

Everton CD have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Deportes Concepcion form

Deportes Concepcion have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Everton CD won 1, Deportes Concepcion won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportes Concepcion 0, Everton CD 2.

Our call

We expect Everton CD to score about 1.3 goals and Deportes Concepcion about 1.1. That points to Everton CD to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Everton CDConcepcion
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws64
Losses58
Goals scored3523
Goals conceded2523
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record4W 4D 3L5W 3D 4L
Away record5W 2D 2L3W 1D 4L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored65%35%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.31
Over 3.5 goals22%4.47
Both teams to score49%2.03
Everton CD or Draw70%1.42
Deportes Concepcion or Draw58%1.71
Everton CD to win and Over 2.522%4.45
Deportes Concepcion to win and Over 2.515%6.50
Everton CD clean sheet34%2.95
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet26%3.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
1-011.2%
0-09.7%
0-18.9%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion?

Our prediction for Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion is Everton CD to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Everton CD to score 1.3 goals and Deportes Concepcion 1.1.

Will both teams score in Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Everton CD last 20 games and 7 of Deportes Concepcion last 20.

How are Everton CD playing?

Everton CD have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Deportes Concepcion playing?

Deportes Concepcion have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Everton CD and Deportes Concepcion last met?

It ended Deportes Concepcion 0, Everton CD 2. In the last 1 meeting Everton CD won 1 and Deportes Concepcion won 0.

What is the best bet for Everton CD vs Deportes Concepcion?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Everton CD against Concepcion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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