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Predictions › Netherlands › Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles
EredivisieSat 7 Nov, 20:00 Netherlands time

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

Stadion Woudestein

ExcelsiorHome
1.68 : 1.59
expected goals
Go Ahead EaglesAway
40%Excelsior
24%Draw
36%Go Ahead Eagles
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles is Excelsior to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Excelsior to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Excelsior 1.7, Go Ahead Eagles 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Excelsior to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Excelsior 40%, the draw 24% and Go Ahead Eagles 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Excelsior took 1 point from their last 5 games and Go Ahead Eagles took 6 from 5. Go Ahead Eagles come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Excelsior won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Go Ahead Eagles won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Excelsior score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Go Ahead Eagles score 2.0 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Excelsior games and 14 of Go Ahead Eagles games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Excelsior won 0 and Go Ahead Eagles won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Excelsior 0, Go Ahead Eagles 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Excelsiorrecent form-4%
Excelsior form D L L L DGo Ahead Eagles form D W L D DHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: Excelsior shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Excelsior host Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie on Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 at Stadion Woudestein. Our prediction for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles is Excelsior to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Excelsior form

Excelsior have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Go Ahead Eagles form

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Excelsior won 0, Go Ahead Eagles won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Excelsior 0, Go Ahead Eagles 1.

Our call

We expect Excelsior to score about 1.7 goals and Go Ahead Eagles about 1.6. That points to Excelsior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Excelsior to win and Over 2.5 at 3.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws58
Losses96
Goals scored3340
Goals conceded3437
Scored per game1.62.0
Conceded per game1.71.9
Home record2W 1D 6L5W 3D 2L
Away record4W 4D 3L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.18
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.42
Both teams to score65%1.53
Excelsior or Draw64%1.56
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw60%1.66
Excelsior to win and Over 2.529%3.50
Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Excelsior clean sheet20%4.91
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet19%5.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-18.5%
1-28.1%
2-26.8%
1-05.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Our prediction for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles is Excelsior to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Excelsior to score 1.7 goals and Go Ahead Eagles 1.6.

Will both teams score in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Excelsior last 20 games and 14 of Go Ahead Eagles last 20.

How are Excelsior playing?

Excelsior have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Go Ahead Eagles playing?

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles last met?

It ended Excelsior 0, Go Ahead Eagles 1. In the last 2 meetings Excelsior won 0 and Go Ahead Eagles won 2.

What is the best bet for Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Excelsior against Go Ahead Eagles. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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