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Predictions › Turkey › Eyupspor vs Goztepe
Super LigMon 12 Oct, 17:00 Turkey time

Eyupspor vs Goztepe prediction

Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi

EyupsporHome
1.28 : 1.22
expected goals
GoztepeAway
37%Eyupspor
29%Draw
34%Goztepe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Goztepe is Eyupspor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Eyupspor to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eyupspor 1.3, Goztepe 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eyupspor 37%, the draw 29% and Goztepe 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eyupspor took 3 points from their last 5 games and Goztepe took 2 from 5. Eyupspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eyupspor won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Goztepe won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eyupspor score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. Goztepe score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Eyupspor games and 12 of Goztepe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Eyupspor won 0 and Goztepe won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Goztepe 0, Eyupspor 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eyupsporrecent form-4%
  • Gozteperecent form-4%
Eyupspor form L L L W LGoztepe form D D L L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eyupspor vs Goztepe: Eyupspor shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eyupspor host Goztepe in the Super Lig on Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi. Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Goztepe is Eyupspor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Eyupspor form

Eyupspor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Goztepe form

Goztepe have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eyupspor won 0, Goztepe won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Goztepe 0, Eyupspor 0.

Our call

We expect Eyupspor to score about 1.3 goals and Goztepe about 1.2. That points to Eyupspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EyupsporGoztepe
Games played2020
Wins53
Draws310
Losses127
Goals scored1926
Goals conceded3635
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game1.81.8
Home record4W 0D 6L2W 5D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored35%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.19
Over 3.5 goals24%4.13
Both teams to score52%1.94
Eyupspor or Draw66%1.52
Goztepe or Draw63%1.59
Eyupspor to win and Over 2.521%4.83
Goztepe to win and Over 2.519%5.28
Eyupspor clean sheet30%3.39
Goztepe clean sheet28%3.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-09.7%
0-19.2%
0-09.0%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Goztepe is Eyupspor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Eyupspor to score 1.3 goals and Goztepe 1.2.

Will both teams score in Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Eyupspor last 20 games and 12 of Goztepe last 20.

How are Eyupspor playing?

Eyupspor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Goztepe playing?

Goztepe have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Eyupspor and Goztepe last met?

It ended Goztepe 0, Eyupspor 0. In the last 2 meetings Eyupspor won 0 and Goztepe won 0.

What is the best bet for Eyupspor vs Goztepe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eyupspor against Goztepe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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