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Predictions › Turkey › Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa
Super LigSat 24 Oct, 10:30 Turkey time

Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa prediction

Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi

EyupsporHome
1.11 : 1.39
expected goals
KasimpasaAway
29%Eyupspor
28%Draw
42%Kasimpasa
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa is Kasimpasa to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Kasimpasa to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eyupspor 1.1, Kasimpasa 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eyupspor 29%, the draw 28% and Kasimpasa 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eyupspor took 3 points from their last 5 games and Kasimpasa took 6 from 5. Kasimpasa come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eyupspor won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Kasimpasa won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eyupspor score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.9. Kasimpasa score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Eyupspor games and 9 of Kasimpasa games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Eyupspor won 1 and Kasimpasa won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kasimpasa 1, Eyupspor 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eyupsporrecent form-3%
  • Kasimpasarecent form+1%
  • Eyupsporrest between games-5%
Eyupspor form D L L L WKasimpasa form D D W D DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa: Kasimpasa shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eyupspor host Kasimpasa in the Super Lig on Sat 24 Oct, 10:30 at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi. Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa is Kasimpasa to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Eyupspor form

Eyupspor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Kasimpasa form

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eyupspor won 1, Kasimpasa won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kasimpasa 1, Eyupspor 0.

Our call

We expect Eyupspor to score about 1.1 goals and Kasimpasa about 1.4. That points to Kasimpasa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EyupsporKasimpasa
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws38
Losses125
Goals scored1825
Goals conceded3828
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record4W 0D 6L5W 4D 1L
Away record1W 3D 6L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored30%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%4.14
Both teams to score51%1.96
Eyupspor or Draw58%1.74
Kasimpasa or Draw71%1.42
Eyupspor to win and Over 2.516%6.30
Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.524%4.19
Eyupspor clean sheet25%4.00
Kasimpasa clean sheet33%3.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-110.7%
0-09.0%
1-28.8%
1-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?

Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa is Kasimpasa to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Eyupspor to score 1.1 goals and Kasimpasa 1.4.

Will both teams score in Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Eyupspor last 20 games and 12 of Kasimpasa last 20.

How are Eyupspor playing?

Eyupspor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Kasimpasa playing?

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Eyupspor and Kasimpasa last met?

It ended Kasimpasa 1, Eyupspor 0. In the last 2 meetings Eyupspor won 1 and Kasimpasa won 1.

What is the best bet for Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eyupspor against Kasimpasa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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