Predictions › Turkey › Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor
Super LigSat 7 Nov, 10:30 Turkey time

Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor prediction

Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi

EyupsporHome
0.94 : 1.05
expected goals
KocaelisporAway
31%Eyupspor
33%Draw
37%Kocaelispor
Eagle safe pickKocaelispor or Draw
1.44

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor is Kocaelispor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Kocaelispor or Draw at 1.44.

Prediction
Kocaelispor to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Eyupspor 0.9, Kocaelispor 1.1
Best bet
Kocaelispor or Draw at 1.44
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kocaelispor or Draw
69% chanceFair price 1.441 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eyupspor 31%, the draw 33% and Kocaelispor 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eyupspor took 0 points from their last 5 games and Kocaelispor took 6 from 5. Kocaelispor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eyupspor won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Kocaelispor won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eyupspor score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Kocaelispor score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Eyupspor games and 6 of Kocaelispor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Eyupspor won 0 and Kocaelispor won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Eyupspor 0, Kocaelispor 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kocaelispor or Draw has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eyupsporrecent form-6%
  • Kocaelisporrecent form-3%
Eyupspor form D L L L LKocaelispor form D L L W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor: Kocaelispor shade it

The big picture

Eyupspor host Kocaelispor in the Super Lig on Sat 7 Nov, 10:30 at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi. Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor is Kocaelispor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Kocaelispor or Draw at 1.44.

Eyupspor form

Eyupspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Kocaelispor form

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eyupspor won 0, Kocaelispor won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Eyupspor 0, Kocaelispor 1.

Our call

We expect Eyupspor to score about 0.9 goals and Kocaelispor about 1.1. That points to Kocaelispor to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Kocaelispor or Draw at 1.44. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EyupsporKocaelispor
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws34
Losses1310
Goals scored1616
Goals conceded3623
Scored per game0.80.8
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record3W 0D 7L3W 2D 4L
Away record1W 3D 6L3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored25%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%3.13
Over 3.5 goals14%7.14
Both teams to score40%2.48
Eyupspor or Draw63%1.58
Kocaelispor or Draw69%1.45
Eyupspor to win and Over 2.513%7.85
Kocaelispor to win and Over 2.515%6.47
Eyupspor clean sheet35%2.85
Kocaelispor clean sheet39%2.55

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.6%
1-114.3%
0-113.6%
1-012.1%
0-27.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our prediction for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor is Kocaelispor to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Kocaelispor or Draw at 1.44.

What is the score prediction for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect Eyupspor to score 0.9 goals and Kocaelispor 1.1.

Will both teams score in Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Eyupspor last 20 games and 8 of Kocaelispor last 20.

How are Eyupspor playing?

Eyupspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Kocaelispor playing?

Kocaelispor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Eyupspor and Kocaelispor last met?

It ended Eyupspor 0, Kocaelispor 1. In the last 2 meetings Eyupspor won 0 and Kocaelispor won 2.

What is the best bet for Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor?

Kocaelispor or Draw at 1.44, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eyupspor against Kocaelispor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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