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Predictions › Denmark › F.C. København vs AGF
Danish SuperligaSun 18 Oct, 16:00 Denmark time

F.C. København vs AGF prediction

Parken Stadium

F.C. KøbenhavnHome
2.29 : 0.97
expected goals
AGFAway
66%København
20%Draw
14%AGF
Eagle safe pickF.C. København or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for F.C. København vs AGF is F.C. København to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is F.C. København or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
F.C. København to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
F.C. København 2.3, AGF 1.0
Best bet
F.C. København or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

F.C. København or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

F.C. København to win and Over 2.5
45% chanceFair price 2.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives F.C. København 66%, the draw 20% and AGF 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    F.C. København took 15 points from their last 5 games and AGF took 2 from 5. F.C. København come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    F.C. København won 8 of their last 9 games at home. AGF won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    F.C. København score 2.9 goals a game and let in 0.9. AGF score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of F.C. København games and 11 of AGF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, F.C. København won 0 and AGF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended AGF 2, F.C. København 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    F.C. København or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Københavnrecent form+7%
  • AGFrecent form-4%
København form W W W W WAGF form D L D L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

F.C. København vs AGF: F.C. København are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

F.C. København host AGF in the Danish Superliga on Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 at Parken Stadium. Our prediction for F.C. København vs AGF is F.C. København to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is F.C. København or Draw at 1.20.

F.C. København form

F.C. København have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

AGF form

AGF have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. F.C. København won 0, AGF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AGF 2, F.C. København 0.

Our call

We expect F.C. København to score about 2.3 goals and AGF about 1.0. That points to F.C. København to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is F.C. København or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is F.C. København to win and Over 2.5 at 2.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KøbenhavnAGF
Games played2020
Wins165
Draws110
Losses35
Goals scored5829
Goals conceded1927
Scored per game2.91.4
Conceded per game0.91.4
Home record8W 0D 1L2W 6D 1L
Away record8W 1D 2L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals85%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.44
Both teams to score56%1.78
F.C. København or Draw86%1.16
AGF or Draw34%2.98
F.C. København to win and Over 2.548%2.08
AGF to win and Over 2.59%11.11
F.C. København clean sheet38%2.64
AGF clean sheet10%9.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.1%
2-19.8%
1-19.1%
1-08.3%
3-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win F.C. København vs AGF?

Our prediction for F.C. København vs AGF is F.C. København to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is F.C. København or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for F.C. København vs AGF?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect F.C. København to score 2.3 goals and AGF 1.0.

Will both teams score in F.C. København vs AGF?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of F.C. København last 20 games and 15 of AGF last 20.

How are F.C. København playing?

F.C. København have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are AGF playing?

AGF have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when F.C. København and AGF last met?

It ended AGF 2, F.C. København 0. In the last 1 meeting F.C. København won 0 and AGF won 1.

What is the best bet for F.C. København vs AGF?

F.C. København or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in København against AGF. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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