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Predictions › Japan › Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo
J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo prediction

City Light Stadium

Fagiano OkayamaHome
0.67 : 1.78
expected goals
FC TokyoAway
13%Okayama
24%Draw
64%Tokyo
Eagle safe pickFC Tokyo draw no bet
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.21.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Fagiano Okayama 0.7, FC Tokyo 1.8
Best bet
FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.21
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Tokyo draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fagiano Okayama 13%, the draw 24% and FC Tokyo 64%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fagiano Okayama took 6 points from their last 5 games and FC Tokyo took 15 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fagiano Okayama won 5 of their last 10 games at home. FC Tokyo won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. FC Tokyo score 1.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Fagiano Okayama games and 12 of FC Tokyo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Fagiano Okayama won 0 and FC Tokyo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Tokyo 3, Fagiano Okayama 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Tokyo draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyorecent form+6%
Okayama form D L L W WTokyo form D W W W WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fagiano Okayama host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 at City Light Stadium. Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.21.

Fagiano Okayama form

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fagiano Okayama won 0, FC Tokyo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Tokyo 3, Fagiano Okayama 1.

Our call

We expect Fagiano Okayama to score about 0.7 goals and FC Tokyo about 1.8. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OkayamaTokyo
Games played2020
Wins912
Draws44
Losses74
Goals scored2939
Goals conceded2422
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.21.1
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 0D 3L
Away record4W 2D 4L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.25
Over 3.5 goals23%4.31
Both teams to score41%2.43
Fagiano Okayama or Draw36%2.74
FC Tokyo or Draw87%1.15
Fagiano Okayama to win and Over 2.56%17.36
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.535%2.85
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet17%5.95
FC Tokyo clean sheet51%1.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.7%
0-213.7%
1-110.9%
0-09.2%
1-29.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?

Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo is FC Tokyo to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Fagiano Okayama to score 0.7 goals and FC Tokyo 1.8.

Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Fagiano Okayama last 20 games and 9 of FC Tokyo last 20.

How are Fagiano Okayama playing?

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo last met?

It ended FC Tokyo 3, Fagiano Okayama 1. In the last 1 meeting Fagiano Okayama won 0 and FC Tokyo won 1.

What is the best bet for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?

FC Tokyo draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Okayama against Tokyo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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