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Predictions › Japan › Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
J1 LeagueSun 18 Oct, 04:55 Japan time

Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe prediction

City Light Stadium

Fagiano OkayamaHome
0.95 : 1.13
expected goals
Vissel KobeAway
30%Okayama
32%Draw
39%Vissel Kobe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Vissel Kobe to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fagiano Okayama 0.9, Vissel Kobe 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fagiano Okayama 30%, the draw 32% and Vissel Kobe 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fagiano Okayama took 9 points from their last 5 games and Vissel Kobe took 15 from 5. Vissel Kobe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fagiano Okayama won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Vissel Kobe won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fagiano Okayama score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Vissel Kobe score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Fagiano Okayama games and 9 of Vissel Kobe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 1 and Vissel Kobe won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vissel Kobe 0, Fagiano Okayama 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Okayamarecent form+1%
  • Vissel Koberecent form+7%
Okayama form L W W W LVissel Kobe form W W W W WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe: Vissel Kobe shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fagiano Okayama host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League on Sun 18 Oct, 04:55 at City Light Stadium. Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Fagiano Okayama form

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Vissel Kobe form

Vissel Kobe have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fagiano Okayama won 1, Vissel Kobe won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vissel Kobe 0, Fagiano Okayama 3.

Our call

We expect Fagiano Okayama to score about 0.9 goals and Vissel Kobe about 1.1. That points to Vissel Kobe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OkayamaVissel Kobe
Games played2020
Wins912
Draws44
Losses74
Goals scored3031
Goals conceded2821
Scored per game1.51.6
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 2D 1L
Away record4W 2D 4L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored65%35%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.91
Over 3.5 goals16%6.38
Both teams to score42%2.37
Fagiano Okayama or Draw61%1.63
Vissel Kobe or Draw70%1.42
Fagiano Okayama to win and Over 2.513%7.77
Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.517%5.73
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet32%3.08
Vissel Kobe clean sheet39%2.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-013.4%
0-113.3%
1-011.1%
0-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Fagiano Okayama to score 0.9 goals and Vissel Kobe 1.1.

Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Fagiano Okayama last 20 games and 7 of Vissel Kobe last 20.

How are Fagiano Okayama playing?

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Vissel Kobe playing?

Vissel Kobe have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Fagiano Okayama and Vissel Kobe last met?

It ended Vissel Kobe 0, Fagiano Okayama 3. In the last 2 meetings Fagiano Okayama won 1 and Vissel Kobe won 1.

What is the best bet for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Okayama against Vissel Kobe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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