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Predictions › Spain › FC Andorra vs Burgos
LaLiga 2Mon 26 Oct, 19:30 Spain time

FC Andorra vs Burgos prediction

Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp

FC AndorraHome
1.09 : 1.21
expected goals
BurgosAway
32%FC Andorra
30%Draw
38%Burgos
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Burgos is Burgos to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Burgos to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Andorra 1.1, Burgos 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Andorra 32%, the draw 30% and Burgos 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Andorra took 7 points from their last 5 games and Burgos took 9 from 5. Burgos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Andorra won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Burgos won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Andorra score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Burgos score 1.2 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of FC Andorra games and 7 of Burgos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Andorra won 0 and Burgos won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Burgos 1, FC Andorra 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Andorrarecent form-1%
  • Burgosrecent form+3%
FC Andorra form D D W L LBurgos form D L W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Andorra vs Burgos: Burgos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Andorra host Burgos in the LaLiga 2 on Mon 26 Oct, 19:30 at Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp. Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Burgos is Burgos to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

FC Andorra form

FC Andorra have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Burgos form

Burgos have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Andorra won 0, Burgos won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Burgos 1, FC Andorra 0.

Our call

We expect FC Andorra to score about 1.1 goals and Burgos about 1.2. That points to Burgos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC AndorraBurgos
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws26
Losses94
Goals scored3824
Goals conceded2717
Scored per game1.91.2
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record5W 1D 5L5W 4D 1L
Away record4W 1D 4L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.48
Over 3.5 goals20%4.99
Both teams to score47%2.11
FC Andorra or Draw62%1.61
Burgos or Draw68%1.48
FC Andorra to win and Over 2.516%6.22
Burgos to win and Over 2.519%5.21
FC Andorra clean sheet30%3.34
Burgos clean sheet34%2.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-111.3%
0-010.8%
1-010.2%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?

Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Burgos is Burgos to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for FC Andorra vs Burgos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect FC Andorra to score 1.1 goals and Burgos 1.2.

Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs Burgos?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Andorra last 20 games and 9 of Burgos last 20.

How are FC Andorra playing?

FC Andorra have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Burgos playing?

Burgos have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Andorra and Burgos last met?

It ended Burgos 1, FC Andorra 0. In the last 1 meeting FC Andorra won 0 and Burgos won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Andorra vs Burgos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Andorra against Burgos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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