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Predictions › Spain › FC Andorra vs Castellón
LaLiga 2Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Spain time

FC Andorra vs Castellón prediction

Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp

FC AndorraHome
1.16 : 1.89
expected goals
CastellónAway
23%FC Andorra
24%Draw
54%Castellón
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Castellón is Castellón to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Castellón to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Andorra 1.2, Castellón 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Castellón to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.861 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Andorra 23%, the draw 24% and Castellón 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Andorra took 3 points from their last 5 games and Castellón took 15 from 5. Castellón come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Andorra won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Castellón won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Andorra score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Castellón score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of FC Andorra games and 10 of Castellón games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Andorra won 0 and Castellón won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Castellón 2, FC Andorra 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Andorrarecent form-4%
  • Castellónrecent form+7%
  • Castellónrest between games-2%
FC Andorra form W L L L LCastellón form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Andorra vs Castellón: Castellón are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Andorra host Castellón in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 at Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp. Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Castellón is Castellón to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

FC Andorra form

FC Andorra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Castellón form

Castellón have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Andorra won 0, Castellón won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Castellón 2, FC Andorra 0.

Our call

We expect FC Andorra to score about 1.2 goals and Castellón about 1.9. That points to Castellón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Castellón to win and Over 2.5 at 2.86.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC AndorraCastellón
Games played2020
Wins812
Draws26
Losses102
Goals scored3837
Goals conceded2919
Scored per game1.91.9
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record4W 1D 6L6W 3D 1L
Away record4W 1D 4L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.75
Both teams to score59%1.70
FC Andorra or Draw46%2.16
Castellón or Draw77%1.29
FC Andorra to win and Over 2.515%6.85
Castellón to win and Over 2.537%2.71
FC Andorra clean sheet15%6.59
Castellón clean sheet31%3.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
1-29.8%
0-28.4%
0-18.3%
1-36.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Andorra vs Castellón?

Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Castellón is Castellón to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for FC Andorra vs Castellón?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect FC Andorra to score 1.2 goals and Castellón 1.9.

Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs Castellón?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of FC Andorra last 20 games and 13 of Castellón last 20.

How are FC Andorra playing?

FC Andorra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Castellón playing?

Castellón have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Andorra and Castellón last met?

It ended Castellón 2, FC Andorra 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Andorra won 0 and Castellón won 2.

What is the best bet for FC Andorra vs Castellón?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Andorra against Castellón. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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