Predictions › Spain › FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón

LaLiga 2Sat 19 Sept, 14:15 Spain time

FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón prediction

Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp

FC AndorraHome

1.43 : 1.46

expected goals

Sporting GijónAway

36%FC Andorra

26%Draw

37%Gijón

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Sporting Gijón to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: FC Andorra 1.4, Sporting Gijón 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

12% chanceFair price 8.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives FC Andorra 36%, the draw 26% and Sporting Gijón 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
FC Andorra took 3 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Gijón took 10 from 5. Sporting Gijón come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
FC Andorra won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Sporting Gijón won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
FC Andorra score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Sporting Gijón score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of FC Andorra games and 10 of Sporting Gijón games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, FC Andorra won 1 and Sporting Gijón won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Andorra 1, Sporting Gijón 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

FC Andorrarecent form-4%
Gijónrecent form+3%
FC Andorrarest between games-5%

FC Andorra form L L L L WGijón form L W W D WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón: Sporting Gijón shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Andorra host Sporting Gijón in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 19 Sept, 14:15 at Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp. Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

FC Andorra form

FC Andorra have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Sporting Gijón form

Sporting Gijón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Andorra won 1, Sporting Gijón won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Andorra 1, Sporting Gijón 0.

Our call

We expect FC Andorra to score about 1.4 goals and Sporting Gijón about 1.5. That points to Sporting Gijón to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	FC Andorra	Gijón
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	9	8
Goals scored	39	26
Goals conceded	25	22
Scored per game	1.9	1.3
Conceded per game	1.3	1.1
Home record	5W 1D 5L	5W 4D 2L
Away record	4W 1D 4L	3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.05
Both teams to score	59%	1.69
FC Andorra or Draw	63%	1.60
Sporting Gijón or Draw	64%	1.57
FC Andorra to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.29
Sporting Gijón to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.14
FC Andorra clean sheet	23%	4.29
Sporting Gijón clean sheet	24%	4.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

1-28.5%

2-18.3%

0-17.4%

1-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón?

Our prediction for FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón is Sporting Gijón to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Andorra to score 1.4 goals and Sporting Gijón 1.5.

Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Andorra last 20 games and 10 of Sporting Gijón last 20.

How are FC Andorra playing?

How are Sporting Gijón playing?

What happened when FC Andorra and Sporting Gijón last met?

It ended FC Andorra 1, Sporting Gijón 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Andorra won 1 and Sporting Gijón won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijón?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Andorra against Gijón. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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