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Predictions › Germany › FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
BundesligaSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Germany time

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction

WWK Arena

FC AugsburgHome
1.46 : 1.53
expected goals
SC FreiburgAway
36%Augsburg
26%Draw
39%Freiburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg is SC Freiburg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
SC Freiburg to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Augsburg 1.5, SC Freiburg 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Augsburg to win
35% chancePrice 2.90+2.2% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Augsburg 36%, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 39%. The bookmakers agree and make SC Freiburg the favourite at 2.10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Augsburg took 5 points from their last 5 games and SC Freiburg took 10 from 5. SC Freiburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Augsburg won 4 of their last 9 games at home. SC Freiburg won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Augsburg score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. SC Freiburg score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Augsburg games and 17 of SC Freiburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Augsburg won 0 and SC Freiburg won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Augsburg 2, SC Freiburg 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Freiburgrecent form+4%
Augsburg form D D L D WFreiburg form D W W D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 at WWK Arena. Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg is SC Freiburg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

FC Augsburg form

FC Augsburg have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

SC Freiburg form

SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Augsburg won 0, SC Freiburg won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Augsburg 2, SC Freiburg 2.

Our call

We expect FC Augsburg to score about 1.5 goals and SC Freiburg about 1.5. That points to SC Freiburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is FC Augsburg to win at 2.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AugsburgFreiburg
Games played2020
Wins812
Draws52
Losses76
Goals scored3742
Goals conceded3629
Scored per game1.92.1
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record4W 4D 1L8W 1D 2L
Away record4W 1D 6L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Augsburg to win35%2.842.90+2.2%
A Draw25%4.063.55-12.6%
SC Freiburg to win39%2.542.10-17.4%
Over 3.5 goals42%2.362.10-11.0%
Under 3.5 goals54%1.871.65-11.9%
FC Augsburg +0.552%1.911.65-14.0%
SC Freiburg -0.544%2.292.00-12.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score61%1.65
FC Augsburg or Draw61%1.63
SC Freiburg or Draw64%1.55
FC Augsburg to win and Over 2.523%4.26
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.526%3.88
FC Augsburg clean sheet22%4.61
SC Freiburg clean sheet23%4.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%
0-17.1%
1-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Premier League Giants Battle For Freiburg Striker Igor Matanovic

Manchester United, Arsenal, and Chelsea are tracking Freiburg striker Igor Matanovic, while Arsenal's Noni Madueke attracts loan interest.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg is SC Freiburg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Augsburg to score 1.5 goals and SC Freiburg 1.5.

Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of FC Augsburg last 20 games and 14 of SC Freiburg last 20.

How are FC Augsburg playing?

FC Augsburg have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are SC Freiburg playing?

SC Freiburg have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg last met?

It ended FC Augsburg 2, SC Freiburg 2. In the last 1 meeting FC Augsburg won 0 and SC Freiburg won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Augsburg against Freiburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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