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Predictions › Peru › FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 19 Sept, 18:00 Peru time

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC prediction

Estadio Héroes de San Ramón

FC CajamarcaHome
1.84 : 2.05
expected goals
Cusco FCAway
35%Cajamarca
22%Draw
43%Cusco
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC is Cusco FC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Cusco FC to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Cajamarca 1.8, Cusco FC 2.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
74%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cajamarca 35%, the draw 22% and Cusco FC 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cajamarca took 6 points from their last 5 games and Cusco FC took 9 from 5. Cusco FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cajamarca won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Cusco FC won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cajamarca score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.0. Cusco FC score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of FC Cajamarca games and 11 of Cusco FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Cajamarca won 0 and Cusco FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cusco FC 1, FC Cajamarca 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cajamarcarecent form-1%
  • Cuscorecent form+1%
  • Cajamarcarest between games-5%
  • Cuscorest between games-5%
Cajamarca form W L W L LCusco form L W W L WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC: Cusco FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Cajamarca host Cusco FC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 19 Sept, 18:00 at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC is Cusco FC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32.

FC Cajamarca form

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Cajamarca won 0, Cusco FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cusco FC 1, FC Cajamarca 0.

Our call

We expect FC Cajamarca to score about 1.8 goals and Cusco FC about 2.0. That points to Cusco FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CajamarcaCusco
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws43
Losses108
Goals scored3329
Goals conceded4127
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game2.01.4
Home record2W 3D 6L7W 2D 2L
Away record4W 1D 4L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals75%1.34
Over 3.5 goals55%1.83
Both teams to score74%1.36
FC Cajamarca or Draw57%1.76
Cusco FC or Draw65%1.54
FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.528%3.55
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.535%2.84
FC Cajamarca clean sheet13%7.78
Cusco FC clean sheet16%6.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.2%
1-27.9%
2-27.3%
2-17.1%
1-35.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC is Cusco FC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect FC Cajamarca to score 1.8 goals and Cusco FC 2.0.

Will both teams score in FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

Both teams to score has a 74% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Cajamarca last 20 games and 12 of Cusco FC last 20.

How are FC Cajamarca playing?

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Cajamarca and Cusco FC last met?

It ended Cusco FC 1, FC Cajamarca 0. In the last 1 meeting FC Cajamarca won 0 and Cusco FC won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cajamarca against Cusco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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