EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Peru › FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 18 Oct, 18:15 Peru time

FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua prediction

Estadio Héroes de San Ramón

FC CajamarcaHome
1.66 : 1.02
expected goals
Deportivo MoqueguaAway
52%Cajamarca
26%Draw
22%Moquegua
Eagle safe pickFC Cajamarca or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua is FC Cajamarca to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Cajamarca or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
FC Cajamarca to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Cajamarca 1.7, Deportivo Moquegua 1.0
Best bet
FC Cajamarca or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Cajamarca or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cajamarca 52%, the draw 26% and Deportivo Moquegua 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cajamarca took 6 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Moquegua took 0 from 5. FC Cajamarca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cajamarca won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Deportivo Moquegua won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cajamarca score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. Deportivo Moquegua score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of FC Cajamarca games and 10 of Deportivo Moquegua games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Cajamarca won 0 and Deportivo Moquegua won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Moquegua 2, FC Cajamarca 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Cajamarca or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cajamarcarecent form-1%
  • Moqueguarecent form-6%
  • Moqueguarest between games-5%
Cajamarca form L W L W LMoquegua form D L L L LHome edge in this league 44% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua: FC Cajamarca are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Cajamarca host Deportivo Moquegua in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 18 Oct, 18:15 at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua is FC Cajamarca to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Cajamarca or Draw at 1.31.

FC Cajamarca form

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Deportivo Moquegua form

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Cajamarca won 0, Deportivo Moquegua won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Moquegua 2, FC Cajamarca 1.

Our call

We expect FC Cajamarca to score about 1.7 goals and Deportivo Moquegua about 1.0. That points to FC Cajamarca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Cajamarca or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CajamarcaMoquegua
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws46
Losses1010
Goals scored3118
Goals conceded3929
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.91.4
Home record2W 3D 6L2W 5D 3L
Away record4W 1D 4L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets0%25%
Both teams scored80%45%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.54
Both teams to score52%1.90
FC Cajamarca or Draw78%1.29
Deportivo Moquegua or Draw48%2.07
FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.532%3.16
Deportivo Moquegua to win and Over 2.513%7.90
FC Cajamarca clean sheet36%2.77
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet19%5.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-010.7%
2-19.6%
2-09.5%
0-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua is FC Cajamarca to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Cajamarca or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect FC Cajamarca to score 1.7 goals and Deportivo Moquegua 1.0.

Will both teams score in FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Cajamarca last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Moquegua last 20.

How are FC Cajamarca playing?

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Deportivo Moquegua playing?

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Cajamarca and Deportivo Moquegua last met?

It ended Deportivo Moquegua 2, FC Cajamarca 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Cajamarca won 0 and Deportivo Moquegua won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Moquegua?

FC Cajamarca or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cajamarca against Moquegua. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.