EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Peru › FC Cajamarca vs UTC
Peruvian Liga 1Wed 28 Oct, 18:15 Peru time

FC Cajamarca vs UTC prediction

Estadio Héroes de San Ramón

FC CajamarcaHome
1.86 : 1.88
expected goals
UTCAway
38%Cajamarca
22%Draw
39%UTC
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs UTC is UTC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction
UTC to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Cajamarca 1.9, UTC 1.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score
72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UTC to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cajamarca 38%, the draw 22% and UTC 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cajamarca took 4 points from their last 5 games and UTC took 0 from 5. FC Cajamarca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cajamarca won 2 of their last 11 games at home. UTC won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cajamarca score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. UTC score 1.1 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Cajamarca games and 13 of UTC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Cajamarca won 1 and UTC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended UTC 1, FC Cajamarca 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cajamarcarecent form-1%
  • UTCrecent form-6%
  • Cajamarcarest between games-5%
Cajamarca form D D L W LUTC form D L L L LHome edge in this league 44% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Cajamarca vs UTC: UTC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Cajamarca host UTC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Wed 28 Oct, 18:15 at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs UTC is UTC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

FC Cajamarca form

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

UTC form

UTC have 0 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Cajamarca won 1, UTC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished UTC 1, FC Cajamarca 2.

Our call

We expect FC Cajamarca to score about 1.9 goals and UTC about 1.9. That points to UTC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is UTC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CajamarcaUTC
Games played2020
Wins60
Draws56
Losses914
Goals scored3121
Goals conceded3642
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.82.1
Home record2W 3D 6L0W 5D 5L
Away record4W 2D 3L0W 1D 9L
Clean sheets5%10%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.39
Over 3.5 goals51%1.95
Both teams to score72%1.39
FC Cajamarca or Draw61%1.64
UTC or Draw62%1.62
FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.530%3.30
UTC to win and Over 2.531%3.23
FC Cajamarca clean sheet15%6.55
UTC clean sheet16%6.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.8%
1-27.8%
2-17.7%
2-27.3%
1-34.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs UTC?

Our prediction for FC Cajamarca vs UTC is UTC to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for FC Cajamarca vs UTC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Cajamarca to score 1.9 goals and UTC 1.9.

Will both teams score in FC Cajamarca vs UTC?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Cajamarca last 20 games and 14 of UTC last 20.

How are FC Cajamarca playing?

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are UTC playing?

UTC have 0 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Cajamarca and UTC last met?

It ended UTC 1, FC Cajamarca 2. In the last 1 meeting FC Cajamarca won 1 and UTC won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Cajamarca vs UTC?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cajamarca against UTC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.