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Predictions › United States › FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United
MLSWed 21 Oct, 19:00 United States time

FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United prediction

TQL Stadium

FC CincinnatiHome
2.23 : 1.57
expected goals
D.C. UnitedAway
52%Cincinnati
21%Draw
27%D.C. United
Eagle safe pickFC Cincinnati or Draw
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United is FC Cincinnati to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Cincinnati or Draw at -290.

Prediction
FC Cincinnati to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
FC Cincinnati 2.2, D.C. United 1.6
Best bet
FC Cincinnati or Draw at -290
Both teams to score
71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Cincinnati or Draw
74% chanceFair price -2901 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cincinnati 52%, the draw 21% and D.C. United 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cincinnati took 5 points from their last 5 games and D.C. United took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cincinnati won 5 of their last 9 games at home. D.C. United won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cincinnati score 2.4 goals a game and let in 2.5. D.C. United score 1.5 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of FC Cincinnati games and 13 of D.C. United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    FC Cincinnati or Draw has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cincinnatirecent form-3%
  • Cincinnatirest between games-5%
  • D.C. Unitedrest between games-5%
Cincinnati form D L D D LD.C. United form D D L D WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United: FC Cincinnati are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Cincinnati host D.C. United in the MLS on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at TQL Stadium. Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United is FC Cincinnati to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Cincinnati or Draw at -290.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 49 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Cincinnati to score about 2.2 goals and D.C. United about 1.6. That points to FC Cincinnati to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Cincinnati or Draw at -290. Our bold bet is FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.5 at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CincinnatiD.C. United
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws811
Losses55
Goals scored4830
Goals conceded4937
Scored per game2.41.5
Conceded per game2.51.9
Home record5W 3D 1L3W 5D 3L
Away record2W 5D 4L1W 6D 2L
Clean sheets5%20%
Both teams scored85%70%
Over 2.5 goals85%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%-868
Over 2.5 goals73%-270
Over 3.5 goals53%-111
Both teams to score71%-246
FC Cincinnati or Draw73%-277
D.C. United or Draw48%+109
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.542%+138
D.C. United to win and Over 2.521%+383
FC Cincinnati clean sheet21%+379
D.C. United clean sheet11%+826

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.7%
1-18.3%
2-26.9%
3-16.5%
1-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Messi Scores Twice as Inter Miami Wins 4-0 Over D.C. United

Lionel Messi scored two goals to lead Inter Miami to a 4-0 victory over D.C. United shortly after finishing his international career with Argentina.

11 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United is FC Cincinnati to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Cincinnati or Draw at -290.

What is the score prediction for FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect FC Cincinnati to score 2.2 goals and D.C. United 1.6.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of FC Cincinnati last 20 games and 14 of D.C. United last 20.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 49 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 4 wins, 11 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

FC Cincinnati or Draw at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cincinnati against D.C. United. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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