Predictions › United States › FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction

TQL Stadium

FC CincinnatiHome
1.31 : 1.82
expected goals
Nashville SCAway
27%Cincinnati
24%Draw
49%Nashville
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-481

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -481.

Prediction
Nashville SC to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Cincinnati 1.3, Nashville SC 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -481
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4812 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nashville SC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price +2011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cincinnati 27%, the draw 24% and Nashville SC 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cincinnati took 9 points from their last 5 games and Nashville SC took 13 from 5. Nashville SC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cincinnati won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Nashville SC won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cincinnati score 2.1 goals a game and let in 2.3. Nashville SC score 2.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of FC Cincinnati games and 12 of Nashville SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 1 and Nashville SC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Nashville SC 4, FC Cincinnati 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nashvillerecent form+4%
Cincinnati form D W L L WNashville form D D W W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC: Nashville SC are favourites

The big picture

FC Cincinnati host Nashville SC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at TQL Stadium. Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -481.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Nashville SC form

Nashville SC have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Cincinnati won 1, Nashville SC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Nashville SC 4, FC Cincinnati 0.

Our call

We expect FC Cincinnati to score about 1.3 goals and Nashville SC about 1.8. That points to Nashville SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -481. Our bold bet is Nashville SC to win and Over 2.5 at +201.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CincinnatiNashville
Games played2020
Wins714
Draws64
Losses72
Goals scored4243
Goals conceded4615
Scored per game2.12.1
Conceded per game2.30.8
Home record5W 2D 3L10W 0D 0L
Away record2W 4D 4L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets5%50%
Both teams scored80%45%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%-474
Over 2.5 goals61%-153
Over 3.5 goals38%+162
Both teams to score62%-162
FC Cincinnati or Draw51%-105
Nashville SC or Draw73%-269
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.518%+448
Nashville SC to win and Over 2.534%+193
FC Cincinnati clean sheet16%+516
Nashville SC clean sheet27%+272

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-29.5%
0-17.3%
0-27.2%
2-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC is Nashville SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -481.

What is the score prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect FC Cincinnati to score 1.3 goals and Nashville SC 1.8.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Cincinnati last 20 games and 9 of Nashville SC last 20.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 46 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Nashville SC playing?

Nashville SC have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC last met?

It ended Nashville SC 4, FC Cincinnati 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Cincinnati won 1 and Nashville SC won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Over 1.5 goals at -481, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cincinnati against Nashville. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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