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Predictions › United States › FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
MLSSat 31 Oct, 14:00 United States time

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction

TQL Stadium

FC CincinnatiHome
2.14 : 3.11
expected goals
Philadelphia UnionAway
26%Cincinnati
17%Draw
58%Philadelphia
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
-521

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 2-3. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -521.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
2-3
Expected goals
FC Cincinnati 2.1, Philadelphia Union 3.1
Best bet
Both teams to score at -521
Both teams to score
84%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
84% chanceFair price -5212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 2-3
6% chanceFair price +15591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cincinnati 26%, the draw 17% and Philadelphia Union 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cincinnati took 4 points from their last 5 games and Philadelphia Union took 13 from 5. Philadelphia Union come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cincinnati won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Philadelphia Union won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cincinnati score 2.1 goals a game and let in 2.4. Philadelphia Union score 2.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of FC Cincinnati games and 15 of Philadelphia Union games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Cincinnati won 0 and Philadelphia Union won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Philadelphia Union 5, FC Cincinnati 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cincinnatirecent form-1%
  • Philadelphiarecent form+6%
Cincinnati form D L W L DPhiladelphia form D W W W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Cincinnati host Philadelphia Union in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 at TQL Stadium. Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 2-3. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -521.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Cincinnati won 0, Philadelphia Union won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Union 5, FC Cincinnati 0.

Our call

We expect FC Cincinnati to score about 2.1 goals and Philadelphia Union about 3.1. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 2-3 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at -521. Our bold bet is Correct score 2-3 at +1559.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CincinnatiPhiladelphia
Games played2020
Wins712
Draws65
Losses73
Goals scored4352
Goals conceded4731
Scored per game2.12.6
Conceded per game2.41.6
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 4D 0L
Away record2W 4D 4L5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets5%25%
Both teams scored80%75%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals97%-3148
Over 2.5 goals89%-849
Over 3.5 goals77%-331
Both teams to score84%-545
FC Cincinnati or Draw42%+136
Philadelphia Union or Draw74%-292
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.523%+327
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.554%-115
FC Cincinnati clean sheet4%+2135
Philadelphia Union clean sheet12%+750

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-36.0%
2-25.8%
1-35.6%
1-25.4%
2-44.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Cavan Sullivan Sets MLS Teen Record But Calls His Performance Terrible

Cavan Sullivan set an MLS record for teenage goal contributions, but the midfielder was unhappy with his play in Philadelphia's 3-1 win.

15 Oct 2026
MLS

Sullivan Sparks Philadelphia Union to Dominant 5-0 Win

Cavan Sullivan scored twice and set up another goal as the Philadelphia Union rolled to a 5-0 victory over San Diego.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 2-3. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -521.

What is the score prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

2-3 is the most likely score, followed by 2-2 and 1-3. We expect FC Cincinnati to score 2.1 goals and Philadelphia Union 3.1.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams to score has a 84% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Cincinnati last 20 games and 15 of Philadelphia Union last 20.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 47 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union last met?

It ended Philadelphia Union 5, FC Cincinnati 0. In the last 1 meeting FC Cincinnati won 0 and Philadelphia Union won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams to score at -521, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cincinnati against Philadelphia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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