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Predictions › United States › FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids
MLSSat 7 Nov, 19:00 United States time

FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids prediction

Toyota Stadium

FC DallasHome
1.61 : 0.83
expected goals
Colorado RapidsAway
55%Dallas
26%Draw
18%Colorado
Eagle safe pickFC Dallas or Draw
-446

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids is FC Dallas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -446.

Prediction
FC Dallas to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
FC Dallas 1.6, Colorado Rapids 0.8
Best bet
FC Dallas or Draw at -446
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Dallas or Draw
82% chanceFair price -4462 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price +2371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Dallas 55%, the draw 26% and Colorado Rapids 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Dallas took 7 points from their last 5 games and Colorado Rapids took 6 from 5. FC Dallas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Dallas won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Colorado Rapids won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Dallas score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Colorado Rapids score 1.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Dallas games and 7 of Colorado Rapids games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Dallas won 2 and Colorado Rapids won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Colorado Rapids 1, FC Dallas 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Dallas or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dallasrecent form+1%
  • Coloradorecent form-1%
  • Dallasrest between games-5%
Dallas form D W D W LColorado form D D D D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids: FC Dallas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Dallas host Colorado Rapids in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Toyota Stadium. Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids is FC Dallas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -446.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Dallas won 2, Colorado Rapids won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Colorado Rapids 1, FC Dallas 2.

Our call

We expect FC Dallas to score about 1.6 goals and Colorado Rapids about 0.8. That points to FC Dallas to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -446. Our bold bet is FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5 at +237.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DallasColorado
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws55
Losses57
Goals scored3520
Goals conceded3322
Scored per game1.81.0
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record5W 1D 2L7W 3D 2L
Away record5W 4D 3L1W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored60%35%
Over 2.5 goals70%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%-241
Over 2.5 goals44%+127
Over 3.5 goals23%+336
Both teams to score46%+119
FC Dallas or Draw82%-441
Colorado Rapids or Draw45%+123
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.531%+227
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.59%+1014
FC Dallas clean sheet44%+129
Colorado Rapids clean sheet20%+401

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.4%
1-112.3%
2-011.3%
0-09.4%
2-19.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids is FC Dallas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -446.

What is the score prediction for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect FC Dallas to score 1.6 goals and Colorado Rapids 0.8.

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of FC Dallas last 20 games and 7 of Colorado Rapids last 20.

How are FC Dallas playing?

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

Colorado Rapids have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Dallas and Colorado Rapids last met?

It ended Colorado Rapids 1, FC Dallas 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Dallas won 2 and Colorado Rapids won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

FC Dallas or Draw at -446, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dallas against Colorado. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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