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Predictions › United States › FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
MLSSat 21 Nov, 16:00 United States time

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers prediction

Toyota Stadium

FC DallasHome
1.84 : 1.37
expected goals
Portland TimbersAway
48%Dallas
24%Draw
28%Portland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-498

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is FC Dallas to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -498.

Prediction
FC Dallas to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Dallas 1.8, Portland Timbers 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -498
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4982 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price +1971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Dallas 48%, the draw 24% and Portland Timbers 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Dallas took 8 points from their last 5 games and Portland Timbers took 13 from 5. Portland Timbers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Dallas won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Portland Timbers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Dallas score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.5. Portland Timbers score 2.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of FC Dallas games and 15 of Portland Timbers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, FC Dallas won 1 and Portland Timbers won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended FC Dallas 2, Portland Timbers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dallasrecent form+1%
  • Portlandrecent form+6%
Dallas form W D L W DPortland form W W W W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: FC Dallas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Dallas host Portland Timbers in the MLS on Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 at Toyota Stadium. Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is FC Dallas to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -498.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. FC Dallas won 1, Portland Timbers won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Dallas 2, Portland Timbers 1.

Our call

We expect FC Dallas to score about 1.8 goals and Portland Timbers about 1.4. That points to FC Dallas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -498. Our bold bet is FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5 at +197.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DallasPortland
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws65
Losses46
Goals scored3440
Goals conceded3033
Scored per game1.72.0
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record6W 1D 1L6W 3D 2L
Away record4W 5D 3L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%10%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%-511
Over 2.5 goals62%-165
Over 3.5 goals40%+150
Both teams to score63%-173
FC Dallas or Draw72%-256
Portland Timbers or Draw52%-109
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.534%+192
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.519%+415
FC Dallas clean sheet25%+294
Portland Timbers clean sheet16%+529

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.4%
1-27.0%
2-06.8%
1-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is FC Dallas to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -498.

What is the score prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect FC Dallas to score 1.8 goals and Portland Timbers 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of FC Dallas last 20 games and 16 of Portland Timbers last 20.

How are FC Dallas playing?

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

Portland Timbers have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Dallas and Portland Timbers last met?

It ended FC Dallas 2, Portland Timbers 1. In the last 3 meetings FC Dallas won 1 and Portland Timbers won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Over 1.5 goals at -498, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dallas against Portland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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