Predictions › United States › FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC

MLSWed 14 Oct, 20:30 United States time

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction

Toyota Stadium

FC DallasHome

1.58 : 1.12

expected goals

Seattle Sounders FCAway

47%Dallas

26%Draw

26%Seattle

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC is FC Dallas to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -313.

Prediction: FC Dallas to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: FC Dallas 1.6, Seattle Sounders FC 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -313
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price -3132 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price +2511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives FC Dallas 47%, the draw 26% and Seattle Sounders FC 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
FC Dallas took 13 points from their last 5 games and Seattle Sounders FC took 11 from 5. FC Dallas come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
FC Dallas won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Seattle Sounders FC won 0 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
FC Dallas score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Seattle Sounders FC score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Dallas games and 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, FC Dallas won 0 and Seattle Sounders FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Seattle Sounders FC 2, FC Dallas 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Dallasrecent form+6%
Seattlerecent form+4%

Dallas form W D W W WSeattle form W W W D DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC: FC Dallas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Dallas host Seattle Sounders FC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 20:30 at Toyota Stadium. Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC is FC Dallas to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -313.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Dallas won 0, Seattle Sounders FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Seattle Sounders FC 2, FC Dallas 1.

Our call

We expect FC Dallas to score about 1.6 goals and Seattle Sounders FC about 1.1. That points to FC Dallas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -313. Our bold bet is FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5 at +251.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Dallas	Seattle
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	5
Draws	5	7
Losses	5	8
Goals scored	35	25
Goals conceded	32	32
Scored per game	1.8	1.3
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	4W 2D 2L	5W 3D 4L
Away record	6W 3D 3L	0W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	-315
Over 2.5 goals	51%	-103
Over 3.5 goals	29%	+249
Both teams to score	54%	-119
FC Dallas or Draw	74%	-280
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw	53%	-112
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5	29%	+245
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.5	15%	+554
FC Dallas clean sheet	33%	+207
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet	21%	+386

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

1-09.9%

2-19.4%

2-08.4%

0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC is FC Dallas to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -313.

What is the score prediction for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect FC Dallas to score 1.6 goals and Seattle Sounders FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Dallas last 20 games and 14 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20.

How are FC Dallas playing?

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

What happened when FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders FC last met?

It ended Seattle Sounders FC 2, FC Dallas 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Dallas won 0 and Seattle Sounders FC won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dallas against Seattle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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