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Predictions › India › FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
Indian Super LeagueSat 10 Oct, 19:30 India time

FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC prediction

Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

FC GoaHome
1.61 : 0.72
expected goals
Chennaiyin FCAway
58%FC Goa
26%Draw
16%Chennaiyin
Eagle safe pickFC Goa or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC is FC Goa to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Goa or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
FC Goa to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
FC Goa 1.6, Chennaiyin FC 0.7
Best bet
FC Goa or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Goa or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Goa to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Goa 58%, the draw 26% and Chennaiyin FC 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Goa took 7 points from their last 5 games and Chennaiyin FC took 1 from 5. FC Goa come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Goa won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Chennaiyin FC won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Goa score 1.2 goals a game and let in 0.8. Chennaiyin FC score 0.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of FC Goa games and 5 of Chennaiyin FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Goa won 0 and Chennaiyin FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Chennaiyin FC 1, FC Goa 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Goa or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Goarecent form-3%
  • Chennaiyinrecent form-6%
  • FC Goarest between games-3%
  • Chennaiyinrest between games-3%
FC Goa form L L D L WChennaiyin form L L L L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC: FC Goa are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Goa host Chennaiyin FC in the Indian Super League on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium. Our prediction for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC is FC Goa to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Goa or Draw at 1.23.

FC Goa form

FC Goa have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 15 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Chennaiyin FC form

Chennaiyin FC have 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 13 games, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Goa won 0, Chennaiyin FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Chennaiyin FC 1, FC Goa 1.

Our call

We expect FC Goa to score about 1.6 goals and Chennaiyin FC about 0.7. That points to FC Goa to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Goa or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is FC Goa to win and Over 2.5 at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

FC GoaChennaiyin
Games played1313
Wins52
Draws53
Losses38
Goals scored159
Goals conceded1121
Scored per game1.20.7
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record3W 2D 1L1W 2D 3L
Away record2W 3D 2L1W 1D 5L
Clean sheets38%23%
Both teams scored46%54%
Over 2.5 goals15%38%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.43
Over 3.5 goals21%4.84
Both teams to score42%2.39
FC Goa or Draw84%1.19
Chennaiyin FC or Draw42%2.38
FC Goa to win and Over 2.530%3.29
Chennaiyin FC to win and Over 2.57%14.22
FC Goa clean sheet49%2.06
Chennaiyin FC clean sheet20%5.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.0%
2-012.6%
1-112.0%
0-010.4%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

Our prediction for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC is FC Goa to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Goa or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect FC Goa to score 1.6 goals and Chennaiyin FC 0.7.

Will both teams score in FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of FC Goa last 13 games and 7 of Chennaiyin FC last 13.

How are FC Goa playing?

FC Goa have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 15 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Chennaiyin FC playing?

Chennaiyin FC have 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 13 games, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Goa and Chennaiyin FC last met?

It ended Chennaiyin FC 1, FC Goa 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Goa won 0 and Chennaiyin FC won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

FC Goa or Draw at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Goa against Chennaiyin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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