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Predictions › Mexico › FC Juárez vs Atlante
Liga MXWed 21 Oct, 01:00 Mexico time

FC Juárez vs Atlante prediction

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

FC JuárezHome
1.36 : 1.32
expected goals
AtlanteAway
37%Juárez
27%Draw
35%Atlante
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlante is FC Juárez to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
FC Juárez to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Juárez 1.4, Atlante 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Juárez 37%, the draw 27% and Atlante 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Juárez took 4 points from their last 5 games and Atlante took 5 from 5. Atlante come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Juárez won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Atlante won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Juárez score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.2. Atlante score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of FC Juárez games and 4 of Atlante games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juárezrecent form-3%
  • Atlanterecent form-1%
  • Juárezrest between games-5%
  • Atlanterest between games-5%
Juárez form D L W L LAtlante form L W D L DHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Juárez vs Atlante: FC Juárez shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Juárez host Atlante in the Liga MX on Wed 21 Oct, 01:00 at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlante is FC Juárez to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

FC Juárez form

FC Juárez have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Atlante form

Atlante have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 12 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Juárez to score about 1.4 goals and Atlante about 1.3. That points to FC Juárez to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuárezAtlante
Games played2011
Wins32
Draws45
Losses134
Goals scored2112
Goals conceded4417
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game2.21.5
Home record3W 2D 5L1W 3D 1L
Away record0W 2D 8L1W 2D 3L
Clean sheets5%9%
Both teams scored75%64%
Over 2.5 goals65%36%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.54
Both teams to score55%1.81
FC Juárez or Draw65%1.54
Atlante or Draw63%1.60
FC Juárez to win and Over 2.522%4.46
Atlante to win and Over 2.521%4.75
FC Juárez clean sheet27%3.74
Atlante clean sheet26%3.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-08.6%
2-18.4%
0-18.3%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Juárez vs Atlante?

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlante is FC Juárez to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlante?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect FC Juárez to score 1.4 goals and Atlante 1.3.

Will both teams score in FC Juárez vs Atlante?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of FC Juárez last 20 games and 7 of Atlante last 11.

How are FC Juárez playing?

FC Juárez have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlante playing?

Atlante have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 12 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Juárez vs Atlante?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juárez against Atlante. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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