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Predictions › Mexico › FC Juárez vs Atlas
Liga MXSat 21 Nov, 03:00 Mexico time

FC Juárez vs Atlas prediction

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

FC JuárezHome
1.26 : 1.63
expected goals
AtlasAway
29%Juárez
26%Draw
45%Atlas
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlas is Atlas to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Atlas to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Juárez 1.3, Atlas 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlas to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Juárez 29%, the draw 26% and Atlas 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Juárez took 7 points from their last 5 games and Atlas took 9 from 5. Atlas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Juárez won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Atlas won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Juárez score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.2. Atlas score 1.5 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of FC Juárez games and 9 of Atlas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Juárez won 1 and Atlas won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Juárez 3, Atlas 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Atlasrecent form+1%
Juárez form W W D L LAtlas form L W W L WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Juárez vs Atlas: Atlas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Juárez host Atlas in the Liga MX on Sat 21 Nov, 03:00 at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlas is Atlas to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

FC Juárez form

FC Juárez have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Atlas form

Atlas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Juárez won 1, Atlas won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Juárez 3, Atlas 1.

Our call

We expect FC Juárez to score about 1.3 goals and Atlas about 1.6. That points to Atlas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Atlas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.43.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuárezAtlas
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws24
Losses147
Goals scored1930
Goals conceded4434
Scored per game0.91.5
Conceded per game2.21.7
Home record3W 1D 6L2W 4D 5L
Away record1W 1D 8L7W 0D 2L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.05
Both teams to score58%1.72
FC Juárez or Draw55%1.83
Atlas or Draw71%1.41
FC Juárez to win and Over 2.518%5.51
Atlas to win and Over 2.530%3.38
FC Juárez clean sheet20%5.10
Atlas clean sheet28%3.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-29.3%
0-18.4%
0-27.4%
2-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Juárez vs Atlas?

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlas is Atlas to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for FC Juárez vs Atlas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect FC Juárez to score 1.3 goals and Atlas 1.6.

Will both teams score in FC Juárez vs Atlas?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of FC Juárez last 20 games and 12 of Atlas last 20.

How are FC Juárez playing?

FC Juárez have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlas playing?

Atlas have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Juárez and Atlas last met?

It ended FC Juárez 3, Atlas 1. In the last 2 meetings FC Juárez won 1 and Atlas won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Juárez vs Atlas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juárez against Atlas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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