Predictions › Mexico › FC Juárez vs Querétaro
Liga MXSat 31 Oct, 01:00 Mexico time

FC Juárez vs Querétaro prediction

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

FC JuárezHome
1.17 : 1.36
expected goals
QuerétaroAway
32%Juárez
28%Draw
40%Queretaro
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Querétaro to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Juárez 1.2, Querétaro 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Juárez 32%, the draw 28% and Querétaro 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Juárez took 4 points from their last 5 games and Querétaro took 7 from 5. Querétaro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Juárez won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Querétaro won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Juárez score 0.9 goals a game and let in 2.3. Querétaro score 1.3 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of FC Juárez games and 8 of Querétaro games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Juárez won 0 and Querétaro won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Querétaro 1, FC Juárez 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juárezrecent form-1%
  • Queretarorecent form+1%
  • Juárezrest between games-5%
  • Queretarorest between games-5%
Juárez form D L D L WQueretaro form D L W W DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Juárez vs Querétaro: Querétaro shade it

The big picture

FC Juárez host Querétaro in the Liga MX on Sat 31 Oct, 01:00 at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

FC Juárez form

FC Juárez have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Juárez won 0, Querétaro won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Querétaro 1, FC Juárez 1.

Our call

We expect FC Juárez to score about 1.2 goals and Querétaro about 1.4. That points to Querétaro to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuárezQueretaro
Games played2020
Wins39
Draws37
Losses144
Goals scored1825
Goals conceded4520
Scored per game0.91.3
Conceded per game2.31.0
Home record3W 1D 6L4W 3D 2L
Away record0W 2D 8L5W 4D 2L
Clean sheets5%35%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%4.03
Both teams to score52%1.92
FC Juárez or Draw60%1.67
Querétaro or Draw68%1.46
FC Juárez to win and Over 2.517%5.73
Querétaro to win and Over 2.523%4.38
FC Juárez clean sheet26%3.88
Querétaro clean sheet31%3.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-110.1%
0-08.7%
1-28.6%
1-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Juárez vs Querétaro?

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Querétaro is Querétaro to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for FC Juárez vs Querétaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect FC Juárez to score 1.2 goals and Querétaro 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Juárez vs Querétaro?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Juárez last 20 games and 11 of Querétaro last 20.

How are FC Juárez playing?

FC Juárez have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Querétaro playing?

Querétaro have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Juárez and Querétaro last met?

It ended Querétaro 1, FC Juárez 1. In the last 2 meetings FC Juárez won 0 and Querétaro won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Juárez vs Querétaro?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juárez against Queretaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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