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Predictions › Mexico › FC Juárez vs Tijuana
Liga MXSat 10 Oct, 23:00 Mexico time

FC Juárez vs Tijuana prediction

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

FC JuárezHome
1.58 : 1.59
expected goals
TijuanaAway
37%Juárez
25%Draw
38%Tijuana
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Tijuana is Tijuana to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Tijuana to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Juárez 1.6, Tijuana 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tijuana to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Juárez 37%, the draw 25% and Tijuana 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Juárez took 3 points from their last 5 games and Tijuana took 4 from 5. Tijuana come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Juárez won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Tijuana won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Juárez score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.2. Tijuana score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Juárez games and 11 of Tijuana games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Juárez won 0 and Tijuana won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Juárez 1, Tijuana 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juárezrecent form-4%
  • Tijuanarecent form-3%
  • Juárezrest between games-2%
Juárez form L W L L LTijuana form L D L W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Juárez vs Tijuana: Tijuana shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Juárez host Tijuana in the Liga MX on Sat 10 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Tijuana is Tijuana to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

FC Juárez form

FC Juárez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Tijuana form

Tijuana have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Juárez won 0, Tijuana won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Juárez 1, Tijuana 2.

Our call

We expect FC Juárez to score about 1.6 goals and Tijuana about 1.6. That points to Tijuana to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Tijuana to win and Over 2.5 at 3.90.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuárezTijuana
Games played2020
Wins48
Draws36
Losses136
Goals scored2228
Goals conceded4425
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game2.21.3
Home record3W 1D 5L6W 2D 3L
Away record1W 2D 8L2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets5%30%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.56
Both teams to score64%1.57
FC Juárez or Draw62%1.61
Tijuana or Draw63%1.60
FC Juárez to win and Over 2.526%3.81
Tijuana to win and Over 2.526%3.79
FC Juárez clean sheet20%4.89
Tijuana clean sheet21%4.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%
2-26.6%
0-16.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Juárez vs Tijuana?

Our prediction for FC Juárez vs Tijuana is Tijuana to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for FC Juárez vs Tijuana?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Juárez to score 1.6 goals and Tijuana 1.6.

Will both teams score in FC Juárez vs Tijuana?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of FC Juárez last 20 games and 12 of Tijuana last 20.

How are FC Juárez playing?

FC Juárez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Tijuana playing?

Tijuana have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Juárez and Tijuana last met?

It ended FC Juárez 1, Tijuana 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Juárez won 0 and Tijuana won 2.

What is the best bet for FC Juárez vs Tijuana?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juárez against Tijuana. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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