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Predictions › Denmark › FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF
Danish SuperligaMon 14 Sept, 17:00 Denmark time

FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF prediction

MCH Arena

FC MidtjyllandHome
1.58 : 1.11
expected goals
Brøndby IFAway
48%Midtjylland
26%Draw
26%Brøndby
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
FC Midtjylland to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Midtjylland 1.6, Brøndby IF 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Midtjylland 48%, the draw 26% and Brøndby IF 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Midtjylland took 9 points from their last 5 games and Brøndby IF took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Midtjylland won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Brøndby IF won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Midtjylland score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Brøndby IF score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of FC Midtjylland games and 10 of Brøndby IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 1 and Brøndby IF won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Midtjylland 2, Brøndby IF 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+4%
  • Brøndbyrecent form+1%
Midtjylland form D W D W WBrøndby form L L W W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF: FC Midtjylland are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Midtjylland host Brøndby IF in the Danish Superliga on Mon 14 Sept, 17:00 at MCH Arena. Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Brøndby IF form

Brøndby IF have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. FC Midtjylland won 1, Brøndby IF won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Midtjylland 2, Brøndby IF 3.

Our call

We expect FC Midtjylland to score about 1.6 goals and Brøndby IF about 1.1. That points to FC Midtjylland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5 at 3.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MidtjyllandBrøndby
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws95
Losses38
Goals scored2825
Goals conceded2226
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record3W 4D 3L4W 2D 5L
Away record5W 5D 0L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.54
Both teams to score54%1.86
FC Midtjylland or Draw74%1.35
Brøndby IF or Draw52%1.91
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.529%3.44
Brøndby IF to win and Over 2.515%6.70
FC Midtjylland clean sheet33%3.02
Brøndby IF clean sheet21%4.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-010.1%
2-19.4%
2-08.5%
0-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF?

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect FC Midtjylland to score 1.6 goals and Brøndby IF 1.1.

Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Midtjylland last 20 games and 9 of Brøndby IF last 20.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Brøndby IF playing?

Brøndby IF have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Midtjylland and Brøndby IF last met?

It ended FC Midtjylland 2, Brøndby IF 3. In the last 3 meetings FC Midtjylland won 1 and Brøndby IF won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Midtjylland vs Brøndby IF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Midtjylland against Brøndby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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