Predictions › Denmark › FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub
Danish SuperligaSun 25 Oct, 13:00 Denmark time

FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub prediction

MCH Arena

FC MidtjyllandHome
2.60 : 1.25
expected goals
Lyngby BoldklubAway
66%Midtjylland
18%Draw
16%Lyngby
Eagle safe pickFC Midtjylland or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
FC Midtjylland to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
FC Midtjylland 2.6, Lyngby Boldklub 1.3
Best bet
FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Midtjylland or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Midtjylland to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 2.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Midtjylland 66%, the draw 18% and Lyngby Boldklub 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Midtjylland took 11 points from their last 5 games and Lyngby Boldklub took 5 from 5. FC Midtjylland come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Midtjylland won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Lyngby Boldklub won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Midtjylland score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Lyngby Boldklub score 1.2 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of FC Midtjylland games and 5 of Lyngby Boldklub games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Midtjylland won 0 and Lyngby Boldklub won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lyngby Boldklub 1, FC Midtjylland 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Midtjylland or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+3%
Midtjylland form D D W D WLyngby form D L D W DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub: FC Midtjylland are favourites

The big picture

FC Midtjylland host Lyngby Boldklub in the Danish Superliga on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at MCH Arena. Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.22.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 9 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Lyngby Boldklub form

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 games, with 12 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Midtjylland won 0, Lyngby Boldklub won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lyngby Boldklub 1, FC Midtjylland 1.

Our call

We expect FC Midtjylland to score about 2.6 goals and Lyngby Boldklub about 1.3. That points to FC Midtjylland to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is FC Midtjylland to win and both score at 2.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MidtjyllandLyngby
Games played2010
Wins91
Draws94
Losses25
Goals scored3412
Goals conceded2421
Scored per game1.71.2
Conceded per game1.22.1
Home record5W 3D 2L0W 4D 1L
Away record4W 6D 0L1W 0D 4L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.35
Over 3.5 goals54%1.86
Both teams to score66%1.51
FC Midtjylland or Draw84%1.19
Lyngby Boldklub or Draw34%2.94
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.554%1.86
Lyngby Boldklub to win and Over 2.512%8.26
FC Midtjylland clean sheet29%3.49
Lyngby Boldklub clean sheet7%13.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.0%
3-17.8%
1-17.3%
2-07.2%
3-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub?

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect FC Midtjylland to score 2.6 goals and Lyngby Boldklub 1.3.

Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Midtjylland last 20 games and 7 of Lyngby Boldklub last 10.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 9 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Lyngby Boldklub playing?

Lyngby Boldklub have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 10 games, with 12 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Midtjylland and Lyngby Boldklub last met?

It ended Lyngby Boldklub 1, FC Midtjylland 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Midtjylland won 0 and Lyngby Boldklub won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby Boldklub?

FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Midtjylland against Lyngby. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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