Predictions › Denmark › FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold
Danish SuperligaSun 8 Nov, 17:00 Denmark time

FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold prediction

MCH Arena

FC MidtjyllandHome
2.64 : 0.99
expected goals
Sønderjyske FodboldAway
72%Midtjylland
17%Draw
11%Sønderjyske
Eagle safe pickFC Midtjylland to win
1.36

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland to win at 1.36.

Prediction
FC Midtjylland to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
FC Midtjylland 2.6, Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.0
Best bet
FC Midtjylland to win at 1.36
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Midtjylland to win
74% chanceFair price 1.361 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Midtjylland to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Midtjylland 72%, the draw 17% and Sønderjyske Fodbold 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Midtjylland took 10 points from their last 5 games and Sønderjyske Fodbold took 7 from 5. FC Midtjylland come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Midtjylland won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Midtjylland score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.1. Sønderjyske Fodbold score 1.3 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of FC Midtjylland games and 15 of Sønderjyske Fodbold games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 2 and Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, FC Midtjylland 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Midtjylland to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+1%
  • Sønderjyskerecent form+1%
Midtjylland form D L W D WSønderjyske form D W L W DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold: FC Midtjylland are favourites

The big picture

FC Midtjylland host Sønderjyske Fodbold in the Danish Superliga on Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 at MCH Arena. Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland to win at 1.36.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Sønderjyske Fodbold form

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. FC Midtjylland won 2, Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, FC Midtjylland 3.

Our call

We expect FC Midtjylland to score about 2.6 goals and Sønderjyske Fodbold about 1.0. That points to FC Midtjylland to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Midtjylland to win at 1.36. Our bold bet is FC Midtjylland to win and both score at 2.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MidtjyllandSønderjyske
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws83
Losses213
Goals scored3426
Goals conceded2347
Scored per game1.71.3
Conceded per game1.12.4
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 1D 6L
Away record4W 6D 0L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored75%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.42
Over 3.5 goals49%2.04
Both teams to score59%1.70
FC Midtjylland or Draw89%1.13
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Draw28%3.59
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.556%1.78
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win and Over 2.58%12.71
FC Midtjylland clean sheet37%2.69
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet7%14.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.3%
2-19.2%
3-08.1%
3-18.0%
1-17.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland to win at 1.36.

What is the score prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect FC Midtjylland to score 2.6 goals and Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.0.

Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of FC Midtjylland last 20 games and 11 of Sønderjyske Fodbold last 20.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Sønderjyske Fodbold playing?

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Midtjylland and Sønderjyske Fodbold last met?

It ended Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, FC Midtjylland 3. In the last 4 meetings FC Midtjylland won 2 and Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

FC Midtjylland to win at 1.36, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Midtjylland against Sønderjyske. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.