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Predictions › Conference League › FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense
Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense prediction

MCH Arena

FC MidtjyllandHome
2.25 : 1.40
expected goals
Sint-TruidenseAway
56%Midtjylland
21%Draw
23%Sint-Truidense
Eagle safe pickFC Midtjylland or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
FC Midtjylland to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
FC Midtjylland 2.3, Sint-Truidense 1.4
Best bet
FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Midtjylland or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Midtjylland 56%, the draw 21% and Sint-Truidense 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Midtjylland took 11 points from their last 5 games and Sint-Truidense took 3 from 5. FC Midtjylland come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Midtjylland won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sint-Truidense won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Midtjylland score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Sint-Truidense score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of FC Midtjylland games and 11 of Sint-Truidense games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    FC Midtjylland or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+3%
  • Sint-Truidenserecent form-3%
  • Midtjyllandrest between games-5%
  • Sint-Truidenserest between games-5%
Midtjylland form D D W D WSint-Truidense form D L L W LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense: FC Midtjylland are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Midtjylland host Sint-Truidense in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at MCH Arena. Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.32.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 9 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Sint-Truidense form

Sint-Truidense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Midtjylland to score about 2.3 goals and Sint-Truidense about 1.4. That points to FC Midtjylland to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5 at 2.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MidtjyllandSint-Truidense
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws94
Losses210
Goals scored3430
Goals conceded2431
Scored per game1.71.5
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record5W 3D 2L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 6D 0L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored80%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.42
Over 3.5 goals49%2.02
Both teams to score68%1.47
FC Midtjylland or Draw77%1.30
Sint-Truidense or Draw44%2.28
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.544%2.26
Sint-Truidense to win and Over 2.517%5.82
FC Midtjylland clean sheet25%4.06
Sint-Truidense clean sheet11%9.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
1-18.7%
3-16.9%
2-06.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense?

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect FC Midtjylland to score 2.3 goals and Sint-Truidense 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of FC Midtjylland last 20 games and 10 of Sint-Truidense last 20.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 9 wins, 9 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Sint-Truidense playing?

Sint-Truidense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truidense?

FC Midtjylland or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Midtjylland against Sint-Truidense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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