Predictions › Conference League › FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia
Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia prediction

Right to Dream Park

FC NordsjællandHome
1.78 : 0.77
expected goals
CSKA SofiaAway
61%Nordsjælland
24%Draw
15%CSKA Sofia
Eagle safe pickFC Nordsjælland or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Nordsjælland or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
FC Nordsjælland to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
FC Nordsjælland 1.8, CSKA Sofia 0.8
Best bet
FC Nordsjælland or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Nordsjælland or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Nordsjælland 61%, the draw 24% and CSKA Sofia 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    FC Nordsjælland or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nordsjællandrecent form-1%
  • CSKA Sofiarecent form-3%
Nordsjælland form D L W D LCSKA Sofia form L L L W DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: FC Nordsjælland are favourites

The big picture

FC Nordsjælland host CSKA Sofia in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Right to Dream Park. Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Nordsjælland or Draw at 1.21.

FC Nordsjælland form

FC Nordsjælland have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

CSKA Sofia form

CSKA Sofia have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect FC Nordsjælland to score about 1.8 goals and CSKA Sofia about 0.8. That points to FC Nordsjælland to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Nordsjælland or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.5 at 2.96.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NordsjællandCSKA Sofia
Games played20n/a
Wins10n/a
Draws7n/a
Losses3n/a
Goals scored28n/a
Goals conceded17n/a
Scored per game1.4n/a
Conceded per game0.8n/a
Home record7W 3D 0Ln/a
Away record3W 4D 3Ln/a
Clean sheets40%n/a
Both teams scored50%n/a
Over 2.5 goals35%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.94
Both teams to score45%2.21
FC Nordsjælland or Draw85%1.18
CSKA Sofia or Draw39%2.56
FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.535%2.83
CSKA Sofia to win and Over 2.57%13.47
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet46%2.16
CSKA Sofia clean sheet17%5.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.2%
2-012.4%
1-111.3%
2-19.5%
0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is FC Nordsjælland or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect FC Nordsjælland to score 1.8 goals and CSKA Sofia 0.8.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance.

How are FC Nordsjælland playing?

FC Nordsjælland have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nordsjælland against CSKA Sofia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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