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Predictions › Denmark › FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København
Danish SuperligaSun 22 Nov, 17:00 Denmark time

FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København prediction

Right to Dream Park

FC NordsjællandHome
1.46 : 1.49
expected goals
F.C. KøbenhavnAway
36%Nordsjælland
26%Draw
38%København
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København is F.C. København to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
F.C. København to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Nordsjælland 1.5, F.C. København 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Nordsjælland 36%, the draw 26% and F.C. København 38%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make FC Nordsjælland the favourite at 2.50, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Nordsjælland took 5 points from their last 5 games and F.C. København took 11 from 5. F.C. København come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Nordsjælland won 4 of their last 8 games at home. F.C. København won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Nordsjælland score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. F.C. København score 2.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of FC Nordsjælland games and 13 of F.C. København games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Nordsjælland won 1 and F.C. København won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended F.C. København 2, FC Nordsjælland 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nordsjællandrecent form-1%
  • Københavnrecent form+4%
Nordsjælland form W L L D DKøbenhavn form W W W D DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København: F.C. København shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Nordsjælland host F.C. København in the Danish Superliga on Sun 22 Nov, 17:00 at Right to Dream Park. Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København is F.C. København to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

FC Nordsjælland form

FC Nordsjælland have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

F.C. København form

F.C. København have 15 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Nordsjælland won 1, F.C. København won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished F.C. København 2, FC Nordsjælland 0.

Our call

We expect FC Nordsjælland to score about 1.5 goals and F.C. København about 1.5. That points to F.C. København to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NordsjællandKøbenhavn
Games played2020
Wins715
Draws93
Losses42
Goals scored3448
Goals conceded2516
Scored per game1.72.4
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record4W 3D 1L8W 2D 0L
Away record3W 6D 3L7W 1D 2L
Clean sheets30%50%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Nordsjælland to win35%2.822.50-11.3%
A Draw25%3.943.50-11.3%
F.C. København to win37%2.722.55-6.1%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.931.61-16.6%
Under 2.5 goals41%2.422.15-11.2%
FC Nordsjælland -0.537%2.712.35-13.2%
F.C. København +0.558%1.731.48-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.94
Both teams to score60%1.66
FC Nordsjælland or Draw62%1.61
F.C. København or Draw64%1.57
FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.524%4.21
F.C. København to win and Over 2.525%4.03
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet23%4.44
F.C. København clean sheet23%4.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-17.2%
1-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København?

Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København is F.C. København to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Nordsjælland to score 1.5 goals and F.C. København 1.5.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of FC Nordsjælland last 20 games and 9 of F.C. København last 20.

How are FC Nordsjælland playing?

FC Nordsjælland have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are F.C. København playing?

F.C. København have 15 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Nordsjælland and F.C. København last met?

It ended F.C. København 2, FC Nordsjælland 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Nordsjælland won 1 and F.C. København won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Nordsjælland vs F.C. København?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nordsjælland against København. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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