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Predictions › Denmark › FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland
Danish SuperligaSun 1 Nov, 15:00 Denmark time

FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland prediction

Right to Dream Park

FC NordsjællandHome
1.11 : 1.04
expected goals
FC MidtjyllandAway
36%Nordsjælland
31%Draw
33%Midtjylland
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
FC Nordsjælland to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Nordsjælland 1.1, FC Midtjylland 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Nordsjælland 36%, the draw 31% and FC Midtjylland 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Nordsjælland took 6 points from their last 5 games and FC Midtjylland took 11 from 5. FC Midtjylland come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Nordsjælland won 6 of their last 9 games at home. FC Midtjylland won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Nordsjælland score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. FC Midtjylland score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of FC Nordsjælland games and 12 of FC Midtjylland games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, FC Nordsjælland won 2 and FC Midtjylland won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended FC Midtjylland 2, FC Nordsjælland 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+3%
Nordsjælland form D D D L WMidtjylland form D D W D WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: FC Nordsjælland shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Nordsjælland host FC Midtjylland in the Danish Superliga on Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 at Right to Dream Park. Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

FC Nordsjælland form

FC Nordsjælland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 9 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. FC Nordsjælland won 2, FC Midtjylland won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Midtjylland 2, FC Nordsjælland 2.

Our call

We expect FC Nordsjælland to score about 1.1 goals and FC Midtjylland about 1.0. That points to FC Nordsjælland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NordsjællandMidtjylland
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws99
Losses31
Goals scored2935
Goals conceded2123
Scored per game1.41.8
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record6W 3D 0L5W 3D 1L
Away record2W 6D 3L5W 6D 0L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.56
Over 2.5 goals36%2.75
Over 3.5 goals17%5.85
Both teams to score44%2.26
FC Nordsjælland or Draw67%1.48
FC Midtjylland or Draw64%1.57
FC Nordsjælland to win and Over 2.517%5.91
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.515%6.64
FC Nordsjælland clean sheet35%2.83
FC Midtjylland clean sheet33%3.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.5%
1-012.1%
0-111.3%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?

Our prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland is FC Nordsjælland to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect FC Nordsjælland to score 1.1 goals and FC Midtjylland 1.0.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of FC Nordsjælland last 20 games and 16 of FC Midtjylland last 20.

How are FC Nordsjælland playing?

FC Nordsjælland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 9 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Nordsjælland and FC Midtjylland last met?

It ended FC Midtjylland 2, FC Nordsjælland 2. In the last 5 meetings FC Nordsjælland won 2 and FC Midtjylland won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nordsjælland against Midtjylland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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