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Predictions › Portugal › FC Porto vs Estoril
Primeira LigaSat 31 Oct, 20:30 Portugal time

FC Porto vs Estoril prediction

Estádio do Dragão

FC PortoHome
2.06 : 0.58
expected goals
EstorilAway
72%FC Porto
20%Draw
9%Estoril
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Porto vs Estoril is FC Porto to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
FC Porto to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
FC Porto 2.1, Estoril 0.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Porto to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Porto 72%, the draw 20% and Estoril 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Porto took 9 points from their last 5 games and Estoril took 1 from 5. FC Porto come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Porto won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Estoril won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Porto score 1.8 goals a game and let in 0.9. Estoril score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of FC Porto games and 9 of Estoril games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Porto won 2 and Estoril won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Estoril 1, FC Porto 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Portorecent form+3%
  • Estorilrecent form-4%
  • FC Portorest between games-5%
FC Porto form D L W W WEstoril form D L L L DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Porto vs Estoril: FC Porto are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Porto host Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão. Our prediction for FC Porto vs Estoril is FC Porto to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

FC Porto form

FC Porto have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Estoril form

Estoril have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Porto won 2, Estoril won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estoril 1, FC Porto 3.

Our call

We expect FC Porto to score about 2.1 goals and Estoril about 0.6. That points to FC Porto to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is FC Porto to win and Over 2.5 at 2.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC PortoEstoril
Games played2020
Wins132
Draws25
Losses513
Goals scored3515
Goals conceded1931
Scored per game1.80.8
Conceded per game0.91.6
Home record7W 2D 2L1W 3D 6L
Away record6W 0D 3L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.66
Both teams to score39%2.56
FC Porto or Draw91%1.10
Estoril or Draw28%3.51
FC Porto to win and Over 2.542%2.36
Estoril to win and Over 2.54%25.19
FC Porto clean sheet56%1.79
Estoril clean sheet13%7.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-015.1%
1-014.2%
3-010.4%
1-19.1%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?

Our prediction for FC Porto vs Estoril is FC Porto to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for FC Porto vs Estoril?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect FC Porto to score 2.1 goals and Estoril 0.6.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Estoril?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of FC Porto last 20 games and 11 of Estoril last 20.

How are FC Porto playing?

FC Porto have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Estoril playing?

Estoril have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Porto and Estoril last met?

It ended Estoril 1, FC Porto 3. In the last 2 meetings FC Porto won 2 and Estoril won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Porto vs Estoril?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Porto against Estoril. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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