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Predictions › Conference League › FC Thun vs Hajduk Split
Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

FC Thun vs Hajduk Split prediction

Stockhorn Arena

FC ThunHome
1.52 : 1.29
expected goals
Hajduk SplitAway
42%FC Thun
26%Draw
32%Hajduk Split
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Thun vs Hajduk Split is FC Thun to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
FC Thun to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Thun 1.5, Hajduk Split 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 8.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Thun 42%, the draw 26% and Hajduk Split 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Thunrecent form-3%
  • Hajduk Splitrecent form+3%
  • FC Thunrest between games-3%
FC Thun form D L L W LHajduk Split form W D W W LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Thun vs Hajduk Split: FC Thun shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Thun host Hajduk Split in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Stockhorn Arena. Our prediction for FC Thun vs Hajduk Split is FC Thun to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

FC Thun form

FC Thun have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

Hajduk Split form

Hajduk Split have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect FC Thun to score about 1.5 goals and Hajduk Split about 1.3. That points to FC Thun to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 2 games in all competitions.

FC ThunHajduk Split
Games played2n/a
Wins0n/a
Draws0n/a
Losses2n/a
Goals scored3n/a
Goals conceded7n/a
Scored per game1.5n/a
Conceded per game3.5n/a
Home record0W 0D 1Ln/a
Away record0W 0D 1Ln/a
Clean sheets0%n/a
Both teams scored100%n/a
Over 2.5 goals100%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.22
Both teams to score57%1.74
FC Thun or Draw68%1.46
Hajduk Split or Draw58%1.72
FC Thun to win and Over 2.527%3.76
Hajduk Split to win and Over 2.520%5.12
FC Thun clean sheet27%3.64
Hajduk Split clean sheet22%4.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
2-19.0%
1-08.4%
1-27.6%
0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Thun vs Hajduk Split?

Our prediction for FC Thun vs Hajduk Split is FC Thun to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for FC Thun vs Hajduk Split?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect FC Thun to score 1.5 goals and Hajduk Split 1.3.

Will both teams score in FC Thun vs Hajduk Split?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance.

How are FC Thun playing?

FC Thun have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 3 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Thun vs Hajduk Split?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Thun against Hajduk Split. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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