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Predictions › Japan › FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers
J1 LeagueSat 7 Nov, 06:00 Japan time

FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers prediction

Tokyo Stadium

FC TokyoHome
1.98 : 1.40
expected goals
Kashima AntlersAway
51%Tokyo
23%Draw
26%Kashima
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers is FC Tokyo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Tokyo 2.0, Kashima Antlers 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Tokyo 51%, the draw 23% and Kashima Antlers 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Tokyo took 13 points from their last 5 games and Kashima Antlers took 8 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Tokyo won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Kashima Antlers won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Tokyo score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.9. Kashima Antlers score 1.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of FC Tokyo games and 11 of Kashima Antlers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Tokyo won 0 and Kashima Antlers won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kashima Antlers 1, FC Tokyo 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyorecent form+4%
  • Kashimarecent form+4%
Tokyo form D D W W WKashima form D D W W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Tokyo host Kashima Antlers in the J1 League on Sat 7 Nov, 06:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers is FC Tokyo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Kashima Antlers form

Kashima Antlers have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Tokyo won 0, Kashima Antlers won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kashima Antlers 1, FC Tokyo 0.

Our call

We expect FC Tokyo to score about 2.0 goals and Kashima Antlers about 1.4. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TokyoKashima
Games played2020
Wins1110
Draws54
Losses46
Goals scored3736
Goals conceded1930
Scored per game1.91.8
Conceded per game0.91.5
Home record7W 1D 3L7W 1D 2L
Away record4W 4D 1L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets55%35%
Both teams scored35%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.29
Both teams to score65%1.53
FC Tokyo or Draw74%1.36
Kashima Antlers or Draw49%2.03
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.538%2.65
Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.519%5.28
FC Tokyo clean sheet25%4.03
Kashima Antlers clean sheet14%7.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
2-19.4%
2-06.7%
1-26.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers is FC Tokyo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect FC Tokyo to score 2.0 goals and Kashima Antlers 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of FC Tokyo last 20 games and 11 of Kashima Antlers last 20.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Kashima Antlers playing?

Kashima Antlers have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Tokyo and Kashima Antlers last met?

It ended Kashima Antlers 1, FC Tokyo 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Tokyo won 0 and Kashima Antlers won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo against Kashima. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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