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Predictions › Japan › FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock
J1 LeagueSun 25 Oct, 07:00 Japan time

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock prediction

Tokyo Stadium

FC TokyoHome
2.09 : 0.96
expected goals
Mito HollyhockAway
63%Tokyo
21%Draw
16%Mito Hollyhock
Eagle safe pickFC Tokyo or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock is FC Tokyo to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
FC Tokyo 2.1, Mito Hollyhock 1.0
Best bet
FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Tokyo or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Tokyo 63%, the draw 21% and Mito Hollyhock 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Tokyo took 13 points from their last 5 games and Mito Hollyhock took 4 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Tokyo won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Mito Hollyhock won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Tokyo score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of FC Tokyo games and 9 of Mito Hollyhock games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Tokyo won 1 and Mito Hollyhock won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Tokyo 5, Mito Hollyhock 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Tokyo or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyorecent form+4%
  • Mito Hollyhockrecent form-1%
Tokyo form D W W W DMito Hollyhock form D L L D WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Tokyo host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League on Sun 25 Oct, 07:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock is FC Tokyo to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.21.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Mito Hollyhock form

Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Tokyo won 1, Mito Hollyhock won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Tokyo 5, Mito Hollyhock 2.

Our call

We expect FC Tokyo to score about 2.1 goals and Mito Hollyhock about 1.0. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TokyoMito Hollyhock
Games played2020
Wins113
Draws56
Losses411
Goals scored3522
Goals conceded2235
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record7W 1D 3L2W 3D 6L
Away record4W 4D 1L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets45%5%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.75
Both teams to score55%1.83
FC Tokyo or Draw84%1.19
Mito Hollyhock or Draw37%2.68
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.543%2.32
Mito Hollyhock to win and Over 2.510%10.32
FC Tokyo clean sheet38%2.61
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet12%8.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.3%
1-110.1%
2-19.9%
1-09.3%
3-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock is FC Tokyo to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-1. We expect FC Tokyo to score 2.1 goals and Mito Hollyhock 1.0.

Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Tokyo last 20 games and 13 of Mito Hollyhock last 20.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Mito Hollyhock playing?

Mito Hollyhock have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock last met?

It ended FC Tokyo 5, Mito Hollyhock 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Tokyo won 1 and Mito Hollyhock won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

FC Tokyo or Draw at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo against Mito Hollyhock. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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