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Predictions › Japan › FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds
J1 LeagueSat 10 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds prediction

Tokyo Stadium

FC TokyoHome
1.52 : 1.31
expected goals
Urawa Red DiamondsAway
42%Tokyo
26%Draw
32%Urawa Reds
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds is FC Tokyo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Tokyo 1.5, Urawa Red Diamonds 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Tokyo 42%, the draw 26% and Urawa Red Diamonds 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Tokyo took 13 points from their last 5 games and Urawa Red Diamonds took 12 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Tokyo won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Urawa Red Diamonds won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Tokyo score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Urawa Red Diamonds score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of FC Tokyo games and 10 of Urawa Red Diamonds games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Tokyo won 0 and Urawa Red Diamonds won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Urawa Red Diamonds 0, FC Tokyo 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tokyorecent form+6%
  • Urawa Redsrecent form+4%
Tokyo form W W W D WUrawa Reds form W L W W WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds: FC Tokyo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Tokyo host Urawa Red Diamonds in the J1 League on Sat 10 Oct, 06:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds is FC Tokyo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Urawa Red Diamonds form

Urawa Red Diamonds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Tokyo won 0, Urawa Red Diamonds won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Urawa Red Diamonds 0, FC Tokyo 0.

Our call

We expect FC Tokyo to score about 1.5 goals and Urawa Red Diamonds about 1.3. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TokyoUrawa Reds
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws53
Losses49
Goals scored3531
Goals conceded2231
Scored per game1.81.6
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record6W 1D 3L4W 2D 4L
Away record5W 4D 1L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets45%25%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%3.17
Both teams to score58%1.73
FC Tokyo or Draw68%1.47
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw58%1.71
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.527%3.76
Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.520%5.02
FC Tokyo clean sheet27%3.70
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet22%4.59

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
2-18.9%
1-08.3%
1-27.7%
0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds is FC Tokyo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect FC Tokyo to score 1.5 goals and Urawa Red Diamonds 1.3.

Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Tokyo last 20 games and 12 of Urawa Red Diamonds last 20.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Urawa Red Diamonds playing?

Urawa Red Diamonds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Tokyo and Urawa Red Diamonds last met?

It ended Urawa Red Diamonds 0, FC Tokyo 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Tokyo won 0 and Urawa Red Diamonds won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tokyo against Urawa Reds. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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