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Predictions › Netherlands › FC Twente vs FC Utrecht
EredivisieSun 18 Oct, 18:00 Netherlands time

FC Twente vs FC Utrecht prediction

De Grolsch Veste

FC TwenteHome
2.35 : 0.90
expected goals
FC UtrechtAway
69%FC Twente
19%Draw
12%FC Utrecht
Eagle safe pickFC Twente or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Twente vs FC Utrecht is FC Twente to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
FC Twente to win
Chance
69%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
FC Twente 2.4, FC Utrecht 0.9
Best bet
FC Twente or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Twente or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Twente to win and both score
32% chanceFair price 3.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Twente 69%, the draw 19% and FC Utrecht 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Twente took 13 points from their last 5 games and FC Utrecht took 5 from 5. FC Twente come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Twente won 9 of their last 11 games at home. FC Utrecht won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Twente score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. FC Utrecht score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of FC Twente games and 12 of FC Utrecht games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Twente won 0 and FC Utrecht won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Twente 0, FC Utrecht 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Twente or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Twenterecent form+6%
  • FC Utrechtrecent form-1%
FC Twente form W W W D WFC Utrecht form L W D L DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Twente vs FC Utrecht: FC Twente are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Twente host FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 at De Grolsch Veste. Our prediction for FC Twente vs FC Utrecht is FC Twente to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.17.

FC Twente form

FC Twente have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

FC Utrecht form

FC Utrecht have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Twente won 0, FC Utrecht won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Twente 0, FC Utrecht 2.

Our call

We expect FC Twente to score about 2.4 goals and FC Utrecht about 0.9. That points to FC Twente to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is FC Twente to win and both score at 3.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC TwenteFC Utrecht
Games played2020
Wins139
Draws45
Losses36
Goals scored4335
Goals conceded2339
Scored per game2.11.8
Conceded per game1.11.9
Home record9W 1D 1L6W 2D 2L
Away record4W 3D 2L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%2.46
Both teams to score54%1.85
FC Twente or Draw88%1.14
FC Utrecht or Draw31%3.25
FC Twente to win and Over 2.550%2.01
FC Utrecht to win and Over 2.58%13.10
FC Twente clean sheet41%2.45
FC Utrecht clean sheet10%10.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.7%
2-19.6%
1-18.7%
1-08.7%
3-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Twente vs FC Utrecht?

Our prediction for FC Twente vs FC Utrecht is FC Twente to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for FC Twente vs FC Utrecht?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect FC Twente to score 2.4 goals and FC Utrecht 0.9.

Will both teams score in FC Twente vs FC Utrecht?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Twente last 20 games and 12 of FC Utrecht last 20.

How are FC Twente playing?

FC Twente have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are FC Utrecht playing?

FC Utrecht have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Twente and FC Utrecht last met?

It ended FC Twente 0, FC Utrecht 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Twente won 0 and FC Utrecht won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Twente vs FC Utrecht?

FC Twente or Draw at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Twente against FC Utrecht. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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