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Predictions › Conference League › FC Twente vs Pafos
Conference LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

FC Twente vs Pafos prediction

De Grolsch Veste

FC TwenteHome
1.97 : 0.74
expected goals
PafosAway
66%FC Twente
22%Draw
13%Pafos
Eagle safe pickFC Twente draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Twente vs Pafos is FC Twente to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Twente draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
FC Twente to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
FC Twente 2.0, Pafos 0.7
Best bet
FC Twente draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Twente draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Twente to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Twente 66%, the draw 22% and Pafos 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Twente took 10 points from their last 5 games and Pafos took 4 from 5. FC Twente come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Twente won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Pafos won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Twente score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Pafos score 1.0 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of FC Twente games and 4 of Pafos games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    FC Twente draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Twenterecent form+1%
  • FC Twenterest between games-5%
FC Twente form D W L W DPafos form D L W D DHome edge in this league 36% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Twente vs Pafos: FC Twente are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Twente host Pafos in the Conference League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at De Grolsch Veste. Our prediction for FC Twente vs Pafos is FC Twente to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Twente draw no bet at 1.19.

FC Twente form

FC Twente have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Pafos form

Pafos have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Twente to score about 2.0 goals and Pafos about 0.7. That points to FC Twente to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Twente draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is FC Twente to win and Over 2.5 at 2.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC TwentePafos
Games played2010
Wins122
Draws44
Losses44
Goals scored3810
Goals conceded2415
Scored per game1.91.0
Conceded per game1.21.5
Home record7W 1D 2L2W 2D 1L
Away record5W 3D 2L0W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%3.47
Both teams to score46%2.19
FC Twente or Draw87%1.15
Pafos or Draw34%2.91
FC Twente to win and Over 2.540%2.49
Pafos to win and Over 2.56%15.47
FC Twente clean sheet48%2.10
Pafos clean sheet14%7.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.9%
1-012.5%
1-110.3%
2-19.6%
3-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Twente vs Pafos?

Our prediction for FC Twente vs Pafos is FC Twente to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is FC Twente draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for FC Twente vs Pafos?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect FC Twente to score 2.0 goals and Pafos 0.7.

Will both teams score in FC Twente vs Pafos?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Twente last 20 games and 5 of Pafos last 10.

How are FC Twente playing?

FC Twente have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Pafos playing?

Pafos have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Twente vs Pafos?

FC Twente draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Twente against Pafos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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